NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	80		Excitement	8.0 [241]		MVP	Charles Oakley (TOR): +10.7%
Toronto Raptors	87		Comeback	3.0 [602]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -35.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Anstey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	17	72%	0.34	9	-0.38	2	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	59%	0.08	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	11	46%	0.00	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.13	-0.02	5	33%	-0.06	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.01	6	11%	-0.19	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.07
Metta World Peace	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.17	-0.20	-0.01	11	20%	-0.20	2	-0.16	3	33%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	13	54%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	19	62%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	9	39%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	15	35%	-0.13	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	8	32%	-0.11	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	25.1	16.4	25.3	1.6	39.5	133.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -23.3%

TOR +10.8%

TOR +10.4%

TOR +51.8%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.2	87.9	96.7	101.7
season	16.5	15.5		91.8	101.8
opponent	14.9	14.9		102.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.8	15.7	17.6	13.2	15.8
TOR	13.9	17.8	15.1	17.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	30	31	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.10	7	-14	21	14.8	16.3	-1.53	16.3	15.9	0.44
Chris Carr	52	52	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-8	9	14.4	17.7	-3.28	15.5	16.8	-1.35
Will Perdue	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	17.5	15.5	2.00	17.1	15.9	1.20
Chris Anstey	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-4	1	15.4	15.9	-0.49	16.0	16.0	0.01
Elton Brand	80	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-9	11	15.3	19.5	-4.27	16.4	13.1	3.30
Metta World Peace	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	16.8	13.9	2.91	17.3	13.8	3.50
Randy Brown	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	1	-9	15.8	15.6	0.18	16.2	15.3	0.94
Dickey Simpkins	64	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	5	-17	16.3	14.6	1.65	15.4	17.5	-2.12
Hersey Hawkins	62	60	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.41	-15	8	-23	16.4	14.4	2.02	14.9	18.3	-3.35

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	58	60	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.36	17	-10	27	16.1	16.0	0.05	16.3	14.8	1.49
Vince Carter	70	72	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-6	19	15.6	17.6	-2.01	15.8	15.8	0.00
Charles Oakley	70	71	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-4	15	16.1	15.8	0.24	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Tracy McGrady	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-1	9	16.3	15.1	1.22	15.5	16.9	-1.46
Doug Christie	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	15.9	16.4	-0.48	16.2	14.6	1.58
Dee Brown	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	7	-7	9.0	16.6	-7.63	18.0	15.6	2.39
Dell Curry	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	16.9	15.9	1.00	16.9	15.6	1.34
John Thomas	20	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	14.9	16.4	-1.46	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Muggsy Bogues	39	41	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.11	-5	12	-17	17.5	14.9	2.66	14.9	16.5	-1.66
Kevin Willis	32	31	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.11	-10	17	-27	16.6	15.7	0.87	15.3	16.0	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 73, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.91,1	92.9%
SAS 92, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.63,0.84,0.91,1	92.7%
WAS 82, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.53,0.63,0.77,0.91,1	92.6%