NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	82		Excitement	6.8 [459]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +32.0%
Indiana Pacers	86		Comeback	2.0 [650]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -35.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	15	66%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05
Bradley Beal	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.23,-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	-0.00	15	53%	-0.02	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02
John Wall	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.28,-0.35	-0.13	-0.22	0.00	13	21%	-0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.25	0.09	0.03	13	82%	0.32	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	12	54%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	12	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	13	39%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	11%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	45%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.5	32.4	18.5	28.8	2.8	37.5	146.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.8%

IND +25.9%

WAS -15.8%

IND +14.5%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	16.7	15.1	95.3	100.0	105.2
season	15.1	15.8		103.8	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		99.0	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.4	19.0	17.0	16.9	16.7
IND	16.2	17.0	16.5	17.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	29	29	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.05	11	-15	26	14.5	17.9	-3.36	17.2	16.5	0.70
Martell Webster	28	29	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-15	26	16.1	17.1	-0.94	15.9	17.2	-1.28
Andre Miller	20	18	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-7	10	17.7	16.5	1.25	18.3	16.3	1.94
Trevor Booker	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-4	4	18.8	16.4	2.43	15.0	17.0	-2.03
Marcin Gortat	67	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	2	-8	16.3	18.3	-2.02	17.3	15.0	2.27
Bradley Beal	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	4	-12	17.4	10.7	6.61	17.0	14.7	2.32
Trevor Ariza	67	68	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.45	-8	4	-12	16.2	18.7	-2.56	16.4	18.2	-1.80
John Wall	66	68	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.49	-7	3	-10	16.5	17.7	-1.25	16.3	18.3	-1.94
Nene	63	63	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.35	-14	10	-24	18.0	13.4	4.58	16.8	16.6	0.24

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	59	60	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.40	16	-12	28	16.9	16.3	0.60	17.5	15.0	2.56
George Hill	60	59	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.50	10	-6	16	16.5	17.2	-0.70	17.1	16.0	1.08
David West	68	68	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.44	10	-6	16	16.4	18.2	-1.80	16.3	18.3	-1.94
Paul George	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	16.6	17.5	-0.88	16.6	17.8	-1.27
Lance Stephenson	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-4	12	17.0	14.7	2.32	17.4	10.7	6.61
Chris Copeland	0	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	4	-4	0.0	16.7	-16.74	25.0	16.6	8.35
Evan Turner	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	16.8	16.7	0.07	15.4	17.0	-1.63
Luis Scola	18	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	8	-12	18.2	16.4	1.80	18.3	16.3	1.94
CJ Watson	32	32	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.09	-9	13	-22	16.8	16.7	0.11	15.7	17.4	-1.73
Ian Mahinmi	27	25	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.03	-14	18	-32	16.3	16.9	-0.60	14.6	17.6	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.53,0.63,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.96,1	92.6%
SAS 92, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.63,0.84,0.91,1	91.6%
CHA 94, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.76,0.6,0.47,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,1	91.4%