NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	7.7 [302]		MVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): +21.0%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	2.4 [914]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -22.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	65%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	86%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	6	75%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.04,-0.06	0.06	-0.10	0.02	18	52%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	7	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	12	35%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-0.01	14	43%	-0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.01	14	67%	0.28	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	81%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.09	-0.02	11	54%	0.19	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	12	31%	-0.13	1	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.18	0.02	14	53%	-0.10	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	30.5	15.3	23.4	2.4	33.3	129.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.0%

IND +21.1%

CHA -5.2%

CHA -0.8%

CHA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.1	103.3	106.5	105.2
season	15.7	15.8		102.4	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		99.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.3	14.9	15.7	17.4	16.3
IND	15.5	15.8	14.9	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	37	37	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-12	19	15.0	17.2	-2.25	15.3	14.8	0.52
Jeff Adrien	7	7	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-7	9	13.6	16.5	-2.96	12.4	15.2	-2.79
Bismack Biyombo	33	32	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.03	1	-6	7	15.2	16.9	-1.67	16.7	14.1	2.51
Ramon Sessions	46	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-7	9	15.3	17.4	-2.12	15.4	14.6	0.80
Jeff Taylor	71	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-4	3	15.9	17.8	-1.91	14.7	15.9	-1.15
Ben Gordon	45	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-5	5	16.4	16.2	0.14	15.1	14.9	0.19
Kemba Walker	64	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	16.6	15.5	1.12	14.7	15.8	-1.16
Al Jefferson	51	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	3	-11	17.4	14.9	2.42	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Gerald Henderson	47	49	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.32	-10	5	-15	17.4	15.1	2.36	15.4	14.6	0.75
Josh McRoberts	54	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	7	-19	17.2	15.0	2.25	14.8	15.3	-0.52

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	63	61	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.24	18	-13	31	14.8	15.5	-0.72	16.8	15.3	1.45
George Hill	65	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.24	16	-11	27	15.0	14.9	0.12	16.9	14.9	1.99
Paul George	69	68	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-8	21	14.8	15.7	-0.88	16.8	14.7	2.10
Lance Stephenson	70	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-2	9	14.7	16.0	-1.26	16.4	16.0	0.47
Roy Hibbert	66	64	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-4	13	14.9	15.3	-0.35	17.1	14.4	2.70
Ian Mahinmi	26	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	11	-17	15.1	15.0	0.09	14.8	16.9	-2.02
CJ Watson	29	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	15	-25	14.5	15.2	-0.72	14.6	17.1	-2.53
Rasual Butler	46	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	16	-27	16.1	14.0	2.13	15.6	17.0	-1.43
Luis Scola	31	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	16	-27	15.6	14.7	0.95	14.9	17.1	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.76,0.6,0.47,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 82, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.53,0.63,0.77,0.91,1	91.4%
MIL 95, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	90.8%
OKC 105, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.92,1	90.6%