NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	8.4 [208]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): +26.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	3.5 [596]		LVP	Rick Brunson (LAC): -19.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.26,0.26	0.05	0.22	0.01	17	63%	0.32	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.06
Zeljko Rebraca	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	-0.00	5	85%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.16	2	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	14	60%	0.08	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.03
Mikki Moore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	12	58%	0.09	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.04	-0.16	-0.00	4	64%	-0.10	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.15	0.02	23	52%	0.21	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.09
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.05	-0.01	9	76%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	5	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	4	94%	0.14	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.09
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	35.3	15.8	30.2	1.8	39.1	149.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -6.0%

LAC -4.1%

PHI +15.6%

PHI +43.8%

PHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	12.5	15.5	107.2	109.3	104.0
season	16.0	13.9		103.0	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.6	16.7	16.4	18.4	17.2
PHI	11.9	12.0	12.4	13.7	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	26	26	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-9	16	15.6	17.8	-2.24	12.6	12.4	0.14
Zeljko Rebraca	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	1	-4	16.6	17.8	-1.20	12.3	12.7	-0.38
Marko Jaric	60	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.25	1	-3	4	16.9	17.6	-0.70	12.7	12.0	0.74
Elton Brand	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	5	-12	17.3	17.1	0.20	12.4	12.6	-0.18
Chris Kaman	70	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.46	2	-4	6	18.0	15.2	2.81	12.7	12.0	0.69
Rick Brunson	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-1	0	17.0	17.7	-0.75	12.5	12.3	0.20
Quinton Ross	60	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	18.0	16.0	1.97	12.2	12.8	-0.59
Bobby Simmons	93	93	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	3	-8	17.2	17.5	-0.30	12.4	15.2	-2.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.47	2	0	2	12.5	12.5	-0.07	17.3	16.9	0.33
Allen Iverson	91	90	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-2	6	12.5	11.5	1.04	17.4	15.1	2.23
Andre Iguodala	87	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	4	-6	12.5	12.6	-0.14	17.4	15.4	2.03
Kenny Thomas	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.53	-3	5	-8	12.5	12.4	0.15	17.3	17.1	0.16
Samuel Dalembert	56	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	-3	8	12.0	13.1	-1.16	17.4	16.9	0.45
Corliss Williamson	51	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	-1	4	12.5	12.4	0.12	17.0	17.4	-0.40
John Salmons	21	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	-5	12	11.8	12.7	-0.85	17.2	17.2	0.03
Marc Jackson	31	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	13.2	12.2	1.01	17.1	17.3	-0.22
Aaron McKie	10	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	7	-12	13.5	12.4	1.14	13.8	17.7	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.65,0.77,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.84,1	92.2%
POR 93, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.58,1	91.3%
NJN 93, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.28,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.41,0.58,1	91.2%