NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	9.3 [117]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +52.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	7.3 [232]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -29.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.28	-0.01	0.29	-0.01	12	48%	0.32	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	9	72%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.01	6	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Dan Dickau	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	13	59%	0.20	3	-0.13	6	83%	-0.00
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.09	0.08	-0.14	0.02	14	69%	0.19	3	-0.28	4	75%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.3	-0.06	-0.24	0.00	9	37%	-0.14	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.06,0.53	0.53	-0.02	0.55	0.00	19	52%	0.77	4	-0.25	4	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.4	0.40	0.11	0.29	0.00	10	71%	0.40	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	79%	0.16	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	6	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	26.3	15.7	28.1	2.3	40.4	138.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +74.9%

POR -13.0%

POR -41.2%

MIN +27.0%

MIN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	17.8	15.9	15.4	108.1	110.6	104.5
season	16.7	15.4		103.1	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.4	19.5	16.4	17.2	17.8
MIN	14.4	20.5	16.4	13.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	15	14	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-6	11	16.7	18.0	-1.32	13.3	16.4	-3.15
Martell Webster	46	44	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.19	-1	0	-1	17.4	18.2	-0.78	14.4	17.5	-3.08
Zach Randolph	60	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	4	-9	17.4	18.6	-1.23	15.9	16.1	-0.23
Travis Outlaw	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	5	-11	17.2	17.9	-0.75	18.0	15.3	2.79
Sergio Rodriguez	15	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	4	-9	20.5	17.2	3.36	16.5	15.8	0.64
Fred Jones	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.00	-4	3	-7	21.4	17.1	4.30	21.6	14.8	6.85
LaMarcus Aldridge	52	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.61	7	-8	15	16.8	19.1	-2.30	16.6	14.7	1.92
Jarrett Jack	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.54	2	-3	5	16.7	20.3	-3.62	16.3	14.9	1.44
Brandon Roy	67	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-1	1	17.6	18.4	-0.79	14.8	20.1	-5.25
Jamaal Magloire	41	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.55	2	-3	5	20.0	15.7	4.34	15.6	16.2	-0.65
Ime Udoka	38	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.63	0	-1	1	17.9	17.6	0.25	16.0	15.9	0.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	46	45	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.66	-1	2	-3	15.8	16.1	-0.25	18.0	17.5	0.51
Ricky Davis	80	80	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	-5	11	15.8	17.2	-1.36	17.8	17.3	0.45
Kevin Garnett	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	2	-3	15.5	17.1	-1.66	18.1	16.8	1.33
Randy Foye	40	43	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	0	1	16.2	15.6	0.58	17.0	18.5	-1.47
Mark Madsen	5	6	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	-2	5	16.6	15.9	0.72	20.7	17.5	3.13
Mark Blount	52	50	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	-1	3	16.8	14.5	2.39	17.7	17.8	-0.04
Mike James	56	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	-1	3	15.2	17.4	-2.22	17.7	17.9	-0.24
Craig Smith	28	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	4	-7	17.1	15.3	1.83	16.9	18.2	-1.30
Rashad McCants	33	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	6	-11	17.2	15.1	2.07	18.4	17.3	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.58,1	92.2%
CLE 88, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.42,1	91.9%
WAS 94, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.43,0.59,1	91.9%