NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	8.5 [187]		MVP	Carl Landry (GSW): +18.9%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	8.0 [129]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -29.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	9	80%	0.20	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	9	55%	0.09	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.02,-0.03,-0.15	0.10	-0.23	0.02	17	72%	0.21	6	-0.37	12	92%	0.05
Russell Westbrook	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3	-0.24	-0.08	-0.03	16	26%	-0.16	6	-0.14	6	67%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	12	67%	0.23	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	18	54%	0.21	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	27	52%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.08
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.07	-0.00	9	45%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	25.2	14.5	28.4	1.8	40.0	138.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +19.1%

GSW +0.3%

GSW +2.1%

GSW +24.0%

GSW +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	GSW	NBA	OKC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.4	100.0	105.1	104.1
season	14.8	14.6		109.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.3	14.7	14.5	14.5	14.8
GSW	13.5	14.1	16.1	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	23	24	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.08	7	-12	19	15.3	14.6	0.71	16.7	13.6	3.08
Nick Collison	37	35	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.09	5	-10	15	15.8	14.1	1.72	16.3	13.2	3.06
DeAndre Liggins	14	13	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.01	6	-11	17	15.0	14.7	0.28	17.7	13.8	3.87
Perry Jones	7	5	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-10	15	11.7	15.0	-3.27	15.4	14.3	1.12
Kevin Martin	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.48	9	-14	23	14.3	15.5	-1.21	15.7	11.7	4.01
Thabo Sefolosha	68	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	7	-19	15.0	14.3	0.68	13.0	17.1	-4.03
Serge Ibaka	56	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	14.7	14.8	-0.02	14.1	14.6	-0.45
Kendrick Perkins	70	71	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	5	-15	14.5	15.5	-1.03	13.5	16.5	-3.07
Russell Westbrook	76	75	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.43	-12	7	-19	14.6	15.3	-0.71	13.6	16.7	-3.08
Kevin Durant	81	84	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.38	-14	9	-23	14.9	14.1	0.86	13.7	17.6	-3.85

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	56	54	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.20	16	-11	27	12.6	16.6	-3.97	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Stephen Curry	86	86	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-3	11	14.0	16.6	-2.63	14.9	13.6	1.31
Klay Thompson	61	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-8	21	13.3	16.1	-2.79	16.0	12.5	3.50
David Lee	86	86	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	-1	7	14.2	15.2	-1.03	15.3	11.2	4.15
Jarrett Jack	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.41	-7	12	-19	15.9	11.9	4.06	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Draymond Green	16	14	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	6	-7	14.6	14.3	0.35	12.9	15.1	-2.21
Andris Biedrins	7	6	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	16.3	14.2	2.10	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Kent Bazemore	0	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	0.0	14.3	-14.33	11.0	14.8	-3.80
Charles Jenkins	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	5.0	14.4	-9.43	1.0	14.9	-13.90
Festus Ezeli	49	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.16	4	1	3	14.5	14.2	0.27	15.3	14.3	1.04
Carl Landry	50	53	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	13	-21	15.6	13.1	2.52	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Richard Jefferson	23	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	14	-23	15.6	13.9	1.66	11.5	15.7	-4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.64,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.31,0.54,0.68,0.91,1	91.8%
UTA 94, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.55,0.77,0.72,1	91.5%
MIL 102, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.54,0.78,0.73,1	91.2%