NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	98		Excitement	7.6 [315]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (MIL): +16.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	102		Comeback	16.4 [84]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -19.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	-0.00	10	67%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Doron Lamb	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	7	57%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	28	53%	0.06	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.05
John Henson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	7	43%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	18	28%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.13	-0.01	13	44%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.07
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	13	64%	0.28	5	-0.21	10	100%	0.07
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	13	63%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.07
Byron Mullens	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	27.1	14.7	23.5	1.5	36.3	128.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.4%

CHA +29.6%

CHA +17.8%

MIL -12.9%

MIL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.1	15.6	15.4	97.0	102.0	104.1
season	14.7	15.6		101.6	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		109.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.2	11.6	12.8	14.7	13.1
CHA	14.0	17.2	15.3	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	49	50	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.11	8	-12	20	13.4	12.7	0.68	15.7	15.5	0.18
Beno Udrih	33	35	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.01	8	-12	20	11.9	13.6	-1.69	16.0	15.4	0.59
Doron Lamb	11	12	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.08	9	-13	22	12.6	13.1	-0.50	19.2	15.1	4.06
Tobias Harris	27	27	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-9	14	12.0	13.5	-1.47	16.6	15.2	1.42
Ersan Ilyasova	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	0	-4	11.5	14.0	-2.50	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Samuel Dalembert	46	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-4	4	11.9	14.1	-2.22	15.9	15.4	0.52
John Henson	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-8	12	13.5	12.9	0.61	17.3	14.9	2.40
Mike Dunleavy	74	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	5	-14	13.5	12.0	1.47	15.2	16.6	-1.42
Monta Ellis	88	87	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.34	-13	9	-22	13.4	10.8	2.65	15.0	19.5	-4.54
Larry Sanders	42	43	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.37	-14	10	-24	15.1	11.7	3.41	14.7	16.3	-1.65
Brandon Jennings	70	67	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.49	-14	10	-24	13.3	12.7	0.58	15.3	16.2	-0.93

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	84	83	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-8	20	15.4	16.7	-1.31	13.6	10.8	2.73
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	64	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.56	5	-1	6	15.4	15.9	-0.42	12.4	14.4	-1.92
Brendan Haywood	67	68	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-9	22	16.2	14.3	1.97	13.5	12.2	1.38
Ramon Sessions	66	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.43	6	-2	8	15.3	16.2	-0.93	13.3	12.6	0.68
Kemba Walker	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-1	6	16.2	13.8	2.41	13.1	13.0	0.16
Jeff Taylor	66	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-3	10	15.8	15.2	0.63	13.4	12.5	0.95
Bismack Biyombo	27	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.06	-8	12	-20	14.4	16.0	-1.57	12.7	13.2	-0.50
Ben Gordon	31	31	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.07	-9	13	-22	14.1	16.2	-2.12	12.9	13.2	-0.30
Hakim Warrick	21	22	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.01	-11	15	-26	16.6	15.3	1.24	10.7	13.7	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.68,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.32,0.63,1	90.5%
ATL 83, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.58,1	90.5%
MIL 91, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.31,0.34,0.77,0.73,1	90.0%