inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 128 Excitement4.7 [712] MVPTyler Herro (MIA): +15.4%
Atlanta Hawks 97 Comeback1.0 [709] LVPJalen Johnson (ATL): -10.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.180.020.041475%0.1500.004100%0.02
Pelle Larsson0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.01967%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.011254%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.050,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.010.051457%0.0500.0020%-0.02
Davion Mitchell0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01570%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01956%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Kel'el Ware0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.011547%0.0100.0000%0.00
Myron Gardner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Simone Fontecchio0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keshad Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovi?0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Dru Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.02350%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Norman Powell-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.020.031352%0.002-0.043100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.180.030.081279%0.1300.00450%-0.02
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.011662%0.133-0.0600%0.00
Mouhamed Gueye00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keaton Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Corey Kispert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01550%0.011-0.01250%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.020.021759%0.044-0.0400%0.00
Zaccharie Risacher0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01822%-0.0600.00250%0.00
Jock Landale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02719%-0.0600.00250%0.00
Dyson Daniels0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.02727%-0.032-0.0410%-0.01
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.02-0.032235%-0.063-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.61.427.30.025.00.029.50.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +37.1%
MIA +3.5%
MIA +6.9%
MIA +1.0%
MIA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game13.514.514.2125.594.2113.5
season12.813.3114.1113.2
opponent14.514.5112.3111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.912.813.215.513.5
ATL14.713.415.015.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.78780.59-0.090.67-0.3833-23513.812.71.1014.913.21.78
Kasparas Jaku?ionis65660.55-0.050.60-0.011912713.912.90.9514.514.50.07
Tyler Herro90910.490.010.490.061516-113.613.20.4314.315.7-1.41
Pelle Larsson86880.490.010.480.051516-113.414.4-0.9814.414.9-0.42
Bam Adebayo82830.420.080.34-0.342652113.912.11.8014.713.80.87
Norman Powell75760.320.180.13-0.3021101113.812.90.8514.614.20.38
Andrew Wiggins77780.310.190.12-0.3121101113.812.81.0514.813.71.09
Kel'el Ware77780.250.250.010.11526-2113.314.2-0.8614.414.9-0.50
Davion Mitchell70710.160.34-0.18-0.281516-113.813.00.8514.714.00.78
Simone Fontecchio24230.080.42-0.34-0.481912715.513.02.5015.214.30.86
Keshad Johnson24230.080.42-0.34-0.481912715.513.02.5015.214.30.86
Nikola Jovi?24230.080.42-0.34-0.481912715.513.02.5015.214.30.86
Dru Smith24230.080.42-0.34-0.481912715.513.02.5015.214.30.86
Myron Gardner39390.010.49-0.49-0.411417-314.712.91.8114.414.6-0.15

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keaton Wallace2324-0.08-0.420.340.48-19-12-715.214.30.8615.513.02.50
Zaccharie Risacher6968-0.29-0.21-0.090.47-26-5-2114.414.7-0.3414.012.71.26
Onyeka Okongwu7776-0.31-0.19-0.120.25-19-12-714.614.20.4713.812.81.05
Dyson Daniels7776-0.31-0.19-0.120.25-19-12-714.614.20.4713.812.81.05
Jalen Johnson8887-0.34-0.16-0.180.19-18-13-514.614.10.5113.712.70.96
Mouhamed Gueye7270-0.43-0.07-0.370.30-25-6-1914.813.90.8614.212.12.08
CJ McCollum9695-0.500.00-0.500.23-25-6-1914.514.10.3913.613.10.44
Nickeil Alexander-Walker9695-0.500.00-0.500.23-25-6-1914.514.10.3913.613.10.44
Corey Kispert9190-0.510.01-0.530.45-332-3514.613.51.1413.812.01.76
Jock Landale8484-0.590.09-0.670.50-376-4314.713.51.2613.812.61.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 100, NJN 770.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
HOU 113, BKN 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
NYK 119, GSW 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%