NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	119		Excitement	4.6 [778]		MVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): +13.6%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.2 [422]		LVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (GSW): -7.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	17	67%	0.17	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.03	0.06	11	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.05	-0.04	11	55%	0.12	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.07
Reggie Bullock	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Kevin Knox II	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	43%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Wiseman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.02	0.09	19	65%	0.11	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mychal Mulder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nico Mannion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	11	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.5	2.4	31.7	14.0	26.1	2.4	35.8	143.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.7%

NYK +10.7%

GSW -9.4%

NYK +9.7%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	13.3	14.4	119.0	103.0	111.3
season	15.2	13.5		109.2	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		108.8	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	15.6	15.9	15.0	15.3
GSW	12.4	13.2	14.7	13.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	76	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	0	15	15.9	13.6	2.29	13.1	14.0	-0.92
Julius Randle	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	1	13	16.0	13.3	2.72	13.0	14.2	-1.14
RJ Barrett	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	2	11	15.4	15.1	0.31	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Mitchell Robinson	54	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	6	3	15.8	14.8	1.04	13.6	13.0	0.67
Alec Burks	67	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	8	-1	15.0	16.1	-1.11	12.7	14.6	-1.87
Reggie Bullock	33	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	7	1	16.1	15.0	1.11	14.6	12.7	1.87
Nerlens Noel	45	45	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	9	-3	14.9	15.7	-0.82	13.0	13.6	-0.67
Kevin Knox II	24	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	13	-11	15.1	15.4	-0.31	13.5	13.3	0.18
Obi Toppin	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	14	-13	13.2	16.1	-2.92	14.2	13.0	1.14
Immanuel Quickley	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	15	-15	13.6	15.9	-2.29	14.0	13.1	0.92

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damion Lee	34	33	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.21	11	-26	37	13.8	13.1	0.63	14.9	15.5	-0.66
Jordan Poole	19	18	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.09	3	-18	21	12.2	13.6	-1.46	15.3	15.3	0.02
Mychal Mulder	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-17	19	11.3	13.6	-2.33	13.4	15.6	-2.20
Kent Bazemore	31	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-14	13	12.5	13.7	-1.29	15.7	15.2	0.50
James Wiseman	53	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-9	3	13.3	13.4	-0.17	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Brad Wanamaker	38	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-8	1	13.5	13.2	0.29	14.2	16.0	-1.83
Draymond Green	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-7	-1	12.8	13.7	-0.88	15.6	15.2	0.37
Nico Mannion	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-8	1	12.4	13.5	-1.19	15.9	15.2	0.74
Eric Paschall	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-6	-3	15.0	12.3	2.69	15.7	15.1	0.65
Kevon Looney	27	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-9	3	12.4	13.7	-1.28	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-2	-11	13.7	12.7	0.97	14.9	16.2	-1.33
Andrew Wiggins	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	3	-21	13.8	12.5	1.32	15.8	14.5	1.29
Stephen Curry	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	1	-17	13.4	13.3	0.13	15.9	14.0	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, BKN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
UTA 109, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 90, GSW 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	95.1%