NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	3.9 [1029]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +24.6%
Brooklyn Nets	99		Comeback	1.0 [1105]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -12.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.23	0.04	0.03	13	88%	0.29	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	75%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kostas Papanikolaou	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	15	41%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.00	0.07	7	64%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.02	0.04	11	92%	0.18	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.04	9	57%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	16	38%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	0.07	13	43%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.6	29.4	15.4	23.5	2.5	26.2	129.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.5%

HOU +2.3%

HOU +6.1%

HOU +1.4%

HOU +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BKN	NBA	HOU	BKN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.1	117.7	101.0	104.2
season	14.3	15.3		105.6	102.9
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.3	15.5	16.8	14.5	15.2
BKN	14.5	15.2	15.3	13.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	57	59	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.06	19	-5	24	15.3	15.0	0.27	15.2	13.4	1.83
Donatas Motiejunas	76	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	0	14	15.0	15.7	-0.71	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Patrick Beverley	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	7	0	16.2	14.2	2.04	14.8	14.2	0.59
Dwight Howard	54	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	2	10	15.4	14.9	0.54	15.3	13.5	1.81
Trevor Ariza	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	7	0	15.4	14.9	0.54	15.1	13.8	1.28
Josh Smith	54	54	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	10	-6	15.5	14.8	0.63	14.6	14.4	0.18
Corey Brewer	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	10	-6	15.2	15.2	-0.01	13.8	15.5	-1.69
Jason Terry	40	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.13	9	5	4	14.4	15.8	-1.39	14.9	14.2	0.72
Kostas Papanikolaou	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	16	-18	14.5	15.5	-1.00	13.2	15.0	-1.74
Joey Dorsey	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	16	-18	13.1	15.4	-2.25	11.0	14.9	-3.87
Alexey Shved	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	13.1	15.4	-2.25	11.0	14.9	-3.87

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Jordan	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	10.5	14.8	-4.27	12.4	15.3	-2.94
Sergey Karasev	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-23	32	13.4	14.8	-1.42	14.2	15.4	-1.22
Darius Morris	32	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-11	8	13.2	15.1	-1.92	14.0	15.7	-1.75
Kevin Garnett	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-11	8	14.5	14.5	-0.01	16.0	15.1	0.90
Mirza Teletovic	21	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-15	16	12.4	15.1	-2.71	13.1	15.7	-2.57
Cory Jefferson	48	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-13	12	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.8	14.5	1.29
Alan Anderson	37	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-7	0	13.6	15.0	-1.38	13.7	16.0	-2.27
Joe Johnson	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-9	4	15.4	13.1	2.34	16.2	13.2	3.01
Brook Lopez	48	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-1	-12	14.9	14.1	0.84	15.0	15.3	-0.32
Mason Plumlee	58	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.20	-21	7	-28	15.6	13.0	2.59	15.4	14.8	0.58
Bojan Bogdanovic	75	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	-2	-10	14.6	14.1	0.50	15.3	14.8	0.48
Jarrett Jack	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	3	-20	14.7	13.9	0.83	15.7	13.0	2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, ORL 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
IND 105, TOR 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIA 90, MEM 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.5%