inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement4.7 [875] MVPJosh Richardson (MIA): +10.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 81 Comeback1.0 [509] LVPAndrew Harrison (MEM): -13.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.01967%0.1000.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.030.021754%0.0700.00771%-0.02
James Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.011059%0.092-0.032100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02731%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rodney McGruder-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.011050%0.013-0.0300%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.03-0.021547%0.022-0.052100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02624%-0.041-0.03540%-0.02
Derrick Williams-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0150%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02850%0.041-0.0220%-0.00
Deyonta Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.04964%0.032-0.054100%0.01
Jarell Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01460%0.021-0.032100%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.021137%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01744%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Wade Baldwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.000.01542%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.001546%0.013-0.065100%0.02
Troy Daniels0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.01530%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.00729%-0.043-0.0800%0.00
Andrew Harrison0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.01820%-0.082-0.064100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.529.615.626.42.330.7133.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.0%
MEM -5.8%
MEM -9.5%
MIA +25.6%
MIA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMEMNBAMIAMEMNBA
this game16.314.814.896.888.0107.7
season15.416.1106.7106.4
opponent14.914.5106.7105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.816.817.216.516.3
MEM15.213.817.913.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dion Waiters70680.63-0.130.770.0221-123315.219.7-4.4715.213.81.36
Rodney McGruder58600.410.090.320.1590916.815.51.2415.513.71.81
Hassan Whiteside50500.320.180.150.0981715.916.8-0.9315.613.91.76
Derrick Williams25240.280.220.06-0.0712-31517.415.91.4617.214.03.26
Josh Richardson50500.250.250.010.1154117.914.43.4415.514.01.50
Tyler Johnson65650.250.250.000.2218-715.817.5-1.7314.016.8-2.75
James Johnson61620.220.28-0.060.28-211-1316.316.20.0613.816.9-3.11
Udonis Haslem17160.170.33-0.150.0354116.716.20.5116.314.51.79
Josh McRoberts26260.000.50-0.490.12-413-1716.816.10.7712.415.8-3.42
Luke Babbitt4339-0.050.55-0.590.25-1019-2915.716.8-1.0213.815.6-1.72

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley4747-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-121514.015.7-1.7514.817.8-3.00
Wade Baldwin2830-0.07-0.430.35-0.225-141912.315.9-3.6215.116.9-1.81
Troy Williams4039-0.08-0.420.34-0.256-152113.515.9-2.4117.015.81.27
Jarell Martin3536-0.10-0.400.30-0.276-152113.315.8-2.4116.116.4-0.38
Deyonta Davis2829-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-9912.915.7-2.7416.716.10.63
Vince Carter2829-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-5115.414.60.7516.316.30.08
Troy Daniels3332-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-1-716.513.92.6218.115.32.80
Marc Gasol5151-0.35-0.15-0.190.00-123-1515.613.81.8215.517.2-1.73
JaMychal Green6059-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.09-90-916.012.73.2517.114.92.17
Tony Allen4446-0.47-0.03-0.440.09-1910-2916.013.82.2315.616.9-1.31
Andrew Harrison6667-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.10-134-1715.513.32.1916.814.91.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 106, DAL 850.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.5%
HOU 113, BKN 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
NJN 94, NYK 900.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,095.3%