inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 106 Excitement4.8 [877] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +29.5%
Dallas Mavericks 85 Comeback1.2 [888] LVPCorey Brewer (DEN): -10.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.300,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.100.102378%0.311-0.024100%0.01
Andre Iguodala0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.120.03-0.021274%0.222-0.05367%-0.01
JaVale McGee0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.00743%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Randolph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00329%-0.0100.0010%0.00
Andre Miller-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.011050%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Kosta Koufos-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00743%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.031046%-0.014-0.06425%-0.04
Ty Lawson-0.090,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.00-0.041439%0.015-0.0900%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.16-0.00-0.0660%-0.083-0.0300%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.00667%0.0700.00367%-0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.021443%0.0200.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.011145%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.01450%-0.0100.00450%-0.02
Dominique Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05733%-0.002-0.02475%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03417%-0.0300.00450%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01837%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02850%0.034-0.08475%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011025%-0.0700.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.031354%0.036-0.112100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.731.715.025.32.831.0129.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +42.5%
DAL -3.2%
DEN +17.1%
DAL -5.1%
DAL -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game15.413.515.4106.085.9104.1
season14.414.5108.4104.3
opponent15.615.4105.0104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.214.315.619.115.4
DAL14.511.416.412.213.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danilo Gallinari73720.64-0.140.78-0.2731-104114.518.0-3.4814.012.11.88
Andre Iguodala69690.51-0.010.52-0.4031-104115.215.8-0.6114.810.64.18
Kenneth Faried70690.380.120.25-0.212011915.215.9-0.7313.413.8-0.41
Ty Lawson77770.350.150.20-0.09156915.913.72.3013.214.5-1.32
Kosta Koufos53520.190.31-0.130.01615-915.615.20.3914.012.91.10
Corey Brewer46460.180.32-0.140.24-223-2515.715.20.4312.614.3-1.77
JaVale McGee33330.160.34-0.180.10219-1714.415.9-1.5313.813.30.50
Andre Miller53510.160.34-0.180.01516-1115.914.81.1112.614.5-1.83
Anthony Randolph440.000.50-0.500.03-122-2320.015.24.7711.213.6-2.36
Evan Fournier550.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1519.615.24.4013.013.5-0.54
Jordan Hamilton1717-0.070.57-0.640.08-526-3115.615.40.2011.713.9-2.18

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae Crowder27290.04-0.540.580.10-2-191713.213.6-0.4517.714.53.15
Rodrigue Beaubois19180.01-0.510.520.07-2-19179.814.4-4.5516.015.30.71
Elton Brand20200.01-0.510.51-0.114-252912.313.8-1.4613.615.9-2.28
Chris Douglas-Roberts2931-0.05-0.450.400.19-8-13513.413.6-0.1415.115.6-0.47
Dominique Jones1616-0.08-0.420.33-0.02-2-191713.113.6-0.4717.215.12.18
Chris Kaman3941-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-12314.213.01.1815.215.6-0.34
Dirk Nowitzki3837-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-6-15914.313.01.3413.916.3-2.47
O.J. Mayo7878-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-14713.613.20.4115.814.01.76
Shawn Marion5759-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-9-12314.112.81.3115.315.5-0.20
Brandan Wright4039-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-16-5-1113.413.6-0.1916.614.71.88
Dahntay Jones2121-0.35-0.15-0.200.27-210-2113.813.40.3713.815.8-2.04
Vince Carter4644-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.12-8-13512.414.5-2.1415.615.30.31
Darren Collison6567-0.43-0.07-0.350.13-19-2-1714.511.62.8914.916.5-1.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 90, MEM 810.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,095.5%
HOU 92, WAS 840.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.4%
DAL 112, DEN 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%