inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 112 Excitement4.3 [758] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +16.4%
Denver Nuggets 95 Comeback1.2 [384] LVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): -14.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.160,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.040.051972%0.233-0.06875%-0.01
Brandan Wright0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.010.01979%0.1300.001100%0.00
Vince Carter0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.040.00970%0.122-0.032100%0.01
Ian Mahinmi0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.020.02769%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jason Kidd0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.01470%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jason Terry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.01-0.041242%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.021450%0.023-0.0200%0.00
Brian Cardinal0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dominique Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Yi Jianlian0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamar Odom-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.03743%0.014-0.0900%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.170.020.081086%0.152-0.058100%0.01
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03642%0.0300.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00757%0.0300.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.023100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.011250%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00750%0.011-0.02475%0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.03-0.041639%-0.0410.0010%-0.02
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.031144%-0.014-0.083100%0.02
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.00725%-0.083-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.833.518.827.22.828.4136.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +42.4%
DAL +3.5%
DAL +2.4%
DAL +3.0%
DEN -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game15.713.215.6112.096.0102.8
season15.514.5101.6107.5
opponent15.815.5104.5100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.415.016.117.515.7
DEN13.812.114.512.513.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki64630.52-0.020.53-0.1623-62915.416.3-0.9014.011.92.15
Vince Carter69670.380.120.25-0.01134915.615.8-0.2014.111.42.70
Rodrigue Beaubois73720.370.130.24-0.041431116.413.72.6813.612.21.39
Jason Terry68670.340.160.17-0.081431115.915.20.7512.814.2-1.37
Jason Kidd53530.290.210.090.0398114.417.2-2.8513.912.51.37
Ian Mahinmi39380.280.220.07-0.07125714.516.5-1.9514.212.61.59
Brandan Wright55550.220.28-0.07-0.0289-116.514.71.8013.113.4-0.24
Lamar Odom53550.110.39-0.29-0.01413-916.115.30.8012.514.2-1.75
Brian Cardinal880.000.50-0.500.12-421-2516.115.70.469.013.6-4.60
Sean Williams650.000.50-0.500.06-219-2116.015.70.327.013.6-6.56
Dominique Jones660.000.50-0.500.09-320-2316.015.70.328.013.6-5.57
Yi Jianlian660.000.50-0.500.09-320-2316.015.70.328.013.6-5.57

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Miller1110-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-161512.313.4-1.0815.615.7-0.11
Kosta Koufos3535-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-13912.613.6-0.9815.715.7-0.02
Al Harrington5254-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-151312.314.2-1.9117.114.03.15
Rudy Fernandez1818-0.16-0.340.190.08-8-9114.413.01.4816.215.60.57
Wilson Chandler5860-0.16-0.340.19-0.13-1-161511.915.1-3.1416.115.01.08
Danilo Gallinari4748-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-7-314.312.31.9915.216.1-0.87
Arron Afflalo6970-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.03-9-8-114.011.52.4915.815.60.19
Corey Brewer5252-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-11512.514.1-1.5816.015.40.54
Timofey Mozgov1817-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-3-1116.712.54.2013.516.2-2.69
Kenneth Faried5352-0.36-0.14-0.220.14-170-1713.812.51.2914.716.8-2.18
Ty Lawson8284-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.09-13-4-913.014.5-1.5715.516.6-1.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 104, LAL 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
BOS 99, ATL 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,095.2%
CHI 125, BKN 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.9%