NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	125		Excitement	5.0 [854]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): +15.1%
Brooklyn Nets	106		Comeback	1.2 [282]		LVP	Shabazz Napier (BKN): -11.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.01	9	100%	0.17	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.02	0.08	18	74%	0.18	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Wayne Selden	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	-0.00	0.05	17	63%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Sampson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	12	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	13	68%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	21	48%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.5	27.4	14.7	25.1	1.7	31.0	125.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.6%

BKN -3.0%

CHI +17.0%

BKN -5.0%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	14.3	122.5	101.9	109.3
season	14.6	14.3		104.2	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.1	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.1	13.8	12.3	16.8	14.2
BKN	14.7	13.9	14.3	12.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	81	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	2	15	14.0	15.1	-1.16	14.1	12.4	1.68
Otto Porter Jr.	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	1	17	14.0	14.7	-0.70	13.8	13.6	0.20
Zach LaVine	80	82	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	7	5	14.2	14.3	-0.12	13.8	13.4	0.42
Cristiano Felicio	32	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	11	-3	14.0	14.3	-0.28	13.8	13.7	0.10
Kris Dunn	68	67	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	7	5	14.2	14.2	0.03	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Ryan Arcidiacono	33	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	12	-5	13.9	14.4	-0.47	15.3	12.9	2.35
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	29	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	14	-9	14.9	14.0	0.89	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Shaquille Harrison	21	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	10	-1	14.4	14.2	0.26	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Wayne Selden	51	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	14	-9	14.8	13.6	1.24	14.2	13.3	0.84
Robin Lopez	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	17	-15	13.9	14.4	-0.50	13.0	14.3	-1.30
Antonio Blakeney	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	24.0	14.1	9.87	7.0	13.9	-6.87
Brandon Sampson	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	0.0	14.2	-14.23	6.0	13.8	-7.82

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	31	32	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-22	25	12.4	14.3	-1.93	15.9	13.5	2.40
Treveon Graham	55	54	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-25	31	13.0	14.6	-1.61	14.3	14.2	0.11
D'Angelo Russell	73	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.26	-13	-6	-7	12.6	16.5	-3.86	14.8	12.8	1.99
Ed Davis	27	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-13	7	15.8	13.0	2.80	13.6	14.4	-0.83
Joe Harris	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-9	-1	13.4	14.5	-1.08	14.2	14.3	-0.17
Jarrett Allen	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-8	-3	12.9	15.1	-2.24	15.1	12.8	2.36
DeMarre Carroll	57	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-6	-7	13.8	13.7	0.07	14.6	13.8	0.80
Rodions Kurucs	42	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-7	-5	13.9	13.6	0.28	13.5	14.8	-1.27
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	35	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-8	-3	15.2	13.0	2.20	12.4	15.1	-2.76
Shabazz Napier	23	23	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-6	-7	17.7	12.6	5.08	11.6	15.0	-3.38
Allen Crabbe	44	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-4	-11	14.7	13.0	1.63	14.2	14.3	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
GSW 118, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 83, UTA 65	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%