NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	104		Excitement	4.0 [1010]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +10.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	1.2 [802]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -6.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	17	65%	0.14	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	15	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	58%	0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Babbitt	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gal Mekel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	46%	0.00	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	0.05	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	7	71%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	13	41%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	23%	-0.03	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	18	37%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	30.3	15.8	20.7	1.8	26.2	119.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +47.5%

NOP +1.1%

NOP +18.8%

LAL -18.6%

NOP +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAL	NBA	NOP	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.1	108.3	90.6	104.2
season	15.8	15.5		106.3	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.2		108.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.6	14.2	14.5	16.1	14.6
LAL	15.8	14.6	17.4	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	70	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-2	21	14.4	15.1	-0.73	15.9	14.2	1.70
Anthony Davis	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	-1	19	14.5	14.7	-0.11	16.0	14.2	1.75
Luke Babbitt	40	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	5	7	14.6	14.6	-0.01	16.4	14.8	1.61
Tyreke Evans	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	7	3	14.3	15.0	-0.66	15.6	15.1	0.53
Omer Asik	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	8	1	14.4	14.8	-0.39	16.4	14.5	1.87
Ryan Anderson	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	8	1	14.4	14.8	-0.39	14.6	16.5	-1.87
Dante Cunningham	49	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	9	-1	14.5	14.7	-0.19	14.6	16.3	-1.73
Austin Rivers	48	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	13	-9	14.6	14.5	0.08	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Gal Mekel	25	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	19	-21	15.6	14.2	1.37	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Alexis Ajinca	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	21	-25	15.7	14.3	1.45	14.2	15.7	-1.54
Jimmer Fredette	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	15.5	14.6	0.94	12.5	15.5	-2.98
Jeff Withey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	15.5	14.6	0.94	12.5	15.5	-2.98

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	12.2	15.6	-3.39	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Wayne Ellington	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-18	19	14.5	15.9	-1.33	15.2	14.3	0.87
Wesley Johnson	51	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-12	7	15.9	14.9	0.95	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Robert Sacre	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.12	-1	-16	15	14.0	16.3	-2.27	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Jordan Hill	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-6	-5	16.7	14.0	2.69	15.1	14.1	1.04
Jeremy Lin	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-8	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.90	14.4	14.7	-0.23
Ronnie Price	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-9	1	16.2	14.6	1.55	14.7	14.4	0.26
Ed Davis	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-9	1	15.8	14.8	1.08	14.8	14.3	0.47
Carlos Boozer	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-2	-13	14.9	15.9	-0.93	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Nick Young	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-6	-5	14.6	16.2	-1.62	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Kobe Bryant	64	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	1	-19	15.9	14.5	1.33	14.3	15.2	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 110, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MEM 99, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%