NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	100		Excitement	3.5 [1119]		MVP	Malik Allen (MIA): +4.1%
New Jersey Nets	77		Comeback	1.0 [614]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -11.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	13	57%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	0.00	0.11	8	94%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	64%	-0.01	2	-0.02	7	29%	-0.06
Michael Doleac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	55%	-0.03	3	-0.03	10	70%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	11	39%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	-0.07	6	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	-0.00	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	2.7	27.5	17.8	32.4	2.7	30.0	145.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +27.3%

MIA +3.2%

MIA +8.2%

MIA +7.6%

MIA +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	16.5	15.5	111.1	89.5	104.0
season	15.7	16.0		107.9	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.0	20.9	15.2	15.6	16.3
NJN	18.7	15.2	14.7	17.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	68	64	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	2	19	16.7	15.1	1.57	16.4	16.6	-0.25
Eddie Jones	60	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-2	27	15.7	17.4	-1.68	16.5	16.3	0.22
Rasual Butler	79	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	7	9	16.8	12.8	3.94	16.5	16.1	0.38
Michael Doleac	48	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	10	3	16.8	15.6	1.19	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Udonis Haslem	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	15	-7	17.6	15.1	2.43	15.9	17.0	-1.12
Shaquille O'Neal	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	9	5	15.1	17.3	-2.17	17.8	15.2	2.60
Malik Allen	41	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	12	-1	15.9	16.6	-0.64	16.7	16.2	0.51
Damon Jones	52	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	12	-1	15.4	17.4	-1.98	17.0	15.7	1.35
Wang Zhi-zhi	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	13.7	16.5	-2.78	13.7	16.7	-3.00
Keyon Dooling	11	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	27	-31	17.5	16.1	1.34	13.3	16.9	-3.57

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	26	27	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.06	3	-26	29	16.2	16.6	-0.43	18.1	15.5	2.62
Nenad Krstic	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-23	23	13.6	16.7	-3.14	13.7	16.5	-2.78
Aaron Williams	33	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-23	23	15.8	16.8	-0.98	17.8	15.3	2.44
Rodney Buford	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-19	15	17.3	15.8	1.51	15.8	16.6	-0.83
Brian Scalabrine	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-17	11	15.3	16.9	-1.59	14.0	17.3	-3.31
Zoran Planinic	37	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-17	11	15.9	16.9	-0.99	16.6	16.0	0.61
Jason Collins	34	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	-10	-3	18.2	15.3	2.90	17.7	15.3	2.41
Alonzo Mourning	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-9	-5	16.9	16.3	0.60	14.0	17.3	-3.25
Eric Williams	45	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-7	-9	16.4	16.5	-0.11	16.9	15.5	1.37
Jacque Vaughn	40	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	-2	-19	17.3	15.7	1.68	15.0	17.3	-2.30
Richard Jefferson	58	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	-4	-15	16.0	17.5	-1.50	16.7	15.3	1.44
Ron Mercer	60	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	-4	-15	16.3	16.8	-0.56	16.1	16.7	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 115, BKN 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	96.0%
GSW 133, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
POR 108, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%