NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	133		Excitement	4.4 [958]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +12.3%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.0 [1294]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -10.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	15	74%	0.14	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	15	67%	0.22	6	-0.11	13	100%	0.05
Klay Thompson	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	16	66%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	86%	0.03	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.10	8	76%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.06	-0.01	13	68%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.04	8	65%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gian Clavell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	15	39%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	14	43%	-0.00	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	11	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	10	40%	-0.07
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	12	39%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.4	28.2	14.8	25.4	1.0	30.0	131.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.8%

GSW +13.3%

DAL -6.5%

DAL -3.8%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	12.7	15.3	14.7	129.1	100.0	107.5
season	13.7	15.4		112.6	105.3
opponent	14.3	15.1		108.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.0	13.8	13.0	12.8	12.7
DAL	16.2	13.3	15.2	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	69	69	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	8	14	12.2	13.6	-1.40	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Zaza Pachulia	31	30	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	8	14	12.3	12.8	-0.52	16.1	15.0	1.11
Draymond Green	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	13	4	12.3	13.3	-1.05	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Klay Thompson	60	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.27	24	6	18	12.7	12.5	0.24	15.8	14.5	1.33
Kevin Durant	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.32	25	5	20	12.8	12.4	0.35	15.3	15.3	0.02
Jordan Bell	24	22	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.21	14	16	-2	12.5	12.7	-0.20	12.1	16.2	-4.04
Nick Young	41	38	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	24	-18	12.9	12.5	0.34	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Patrick McCaw	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	24	-18	13.5	12.5	0.98	16.1	15.2	0.88
Omri Casspi	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	26	-22	13.4	12.5	0.84	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Andre Iguodala	52	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	26	-22	12.6	12.7	-0.07	14.6	16.1	-1.43
JaVale McGee	20	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	34	-38	12.5	12.7	-0.12	16.1	15.1	1.05
David West	22	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.22	6	24	-18	13.6	12.4	1.25	17.6	14.6	2.96
Shaun Livingston	31	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.22	4	26	-22	13.0	12.5	0.50	16.9	14.6	2.32

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	41	41	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.18	-6	-24	18	15.0	15.5	-0.44	13.5	12.1	1.43
J.J. Barea	58	57	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	-27	24	15.0	15.7	-0.67	12.7	12.6	0.08
Maxi Kleber	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-26	22	14.1	15.5	-1.39	13.4	12.5	0.84
Jeff Withey	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-28	26	13.1	15.6	-2.49	13.5	12.5	0.96
Gian Clavell	12	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.15	-6	-24	18	14.1	15.5	-1.39	13.4	12.5	0.82
Dorian Finney-Smith	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-29	28	16.5	15.1	1.43	11.5	12.8	-1.31
Nerlens Noel	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-27	24	16.7	14.9	1.77	11.7	12.9	-1.28
Yogi Ferrell	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.24	-21	-9	-12	15.4	15.1	0.34	12.4	13.2	-0.82
Harrison Barnes	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.19	-20	-10	-10	16.2	13.7	2.49	12.2	13.3	-1.10
Wesley Matthews	75	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.20	-21	-9	-12	15.1	15.8	-0.65	12.8	12.4	0.35
Dirk Nowitzki	65	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	-1	-28	14.4	16.8	-2.39	12.7	12.5	0.20
Dennis Smith Jr.	63	63	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.37	-34	4	-38	15.9	14.4	1.41	12.7	12.5	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MIA 100, NJN 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHI 104, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%