NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	3.5 [1127]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +11.7%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	1.0 [541]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -16.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	-0.03	0.02	16	76%	0.13	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	10	90%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.02	-0.07	16	48%	0.09	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	64%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.03	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Noah Vonleh	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.05	8	73%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.01	0.08	10	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jarell Eddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	17	26%	-0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	26.6	15.7	25.1	2.4	27.6	123.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.5%

POR +0.6%

POR +18.2%

WAS -1.9%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	17.3	13.8	14.9	116.1	106.5	105.1
season	15.0	13.8		107.1	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.6		104.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	19.0	15.8	19.3	17.3
WAS	12.8	12.8	14.9	15.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	36	35	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.08	25	-15	40	15.1	18.6	-3.49	14.1	13.6	0.49
CJ McCollum	64	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-9	28	17.7	16.4	1.31	14.3	12.7	1.55
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-5	20	16.0	18.7	-2.68	13.8	13.9	-0.08
Damian Lillard	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-3	16	16.5	19.3	-2.76	13.6	14.5	-0.88
Mason Plumlee	46	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-2	14	16.2	18.4	-2.23	13.7	14.0	-0.27
Ed Davis	43	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	12	-14	18.7	16.1	2.55	14.5	13.3	1.13
Gerald Henderson	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	11	-12	18.4	16.6	1.82	13.8	13.9	-0.13
Meyers Leonard	44	45	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	15	-20	18.9	15.8	3.05	13.8	13.8	0.01
Pat Connaughton	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	15.5	17.4	-1.86	11.7	13.9	-2.24
Tim Frazier	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	15.5	17.4	-1.86	11.7	13.9	-2.24
Allen Crabbe	59	58	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.27	-12	22	-34	18.3	15.5	2.76	13.5	14.5	-1.01
Maurice Harkless	11	9	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	18	-26	17.4	17.3	0.10	13.3	13.9	-0.56

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	42	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-11	12	13.3	14.3	-1.01	18.3	16.4	1.88
Jarell Eddie	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	12.0	13.9	-1.92	16.8	17.3	-0.51
DeJuan Blair	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	11.7	13.9	-2.24	15.5	17.4	-1.86
Bradley Beal	45	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-7	4	14.0	13.7	0.36	17.8	16.7	1.12
Jared Dudley	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-8	6	14.3	12.3	1.95	17.3	17.0	0.30
Ramon Sessions	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-12	14	14.2	13.5	0.73	18.2	16.5	1.72
John Wall	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	13.7	14.2	-0.45	17.3	17.2	0.16
Marcin Gortat	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	14.1	12.9	1.22	17.4	17.0	0.31
Nene	33	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	4	-18	13.2	14.2	-0.93	17.2	17.3	-0.07
Kelly Oubre	25	25	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	3	-16	13.8	13.9	-0.05	14.6	18.2	-3.61
Garrett Temple	59	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.16	-13	3	-16	13.6	14.2	-0.54	16.5	18.6	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, NJN 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHA 129, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.4%
GSW 133, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%