NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	8.0 [236]		MVP	Doug Christie (SAC): +13.3%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	2.6 [542]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -35.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	19	51%	0.05	1	-0.04	11	82%	0.06
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	5	80%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	8	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.19,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	-0.00	11	29%	-0.26	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
John Stockton	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.35	-0.11	-0.24	-0.00	10	45%	-0.15	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	8	81%	0.22	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	14	50%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.01	10	71%	0.04	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	2	33%	-0.06	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	357.3	2.7	32.2	19.7	28.1	3.4	38.5	482.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +78.2%

SAC +4.9%

UTA -28.2%

UTA -6.8%

SAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	17.6	14.5	15.6	95.6	100.0	102.3
season	16.1	14.2		102.9	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	14.6	21.1	17.1	17.6
SAC	13.8	15.4	13.8	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	37	38	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.30	13	-16	29	15.5	19.2	-3.71	14.2	14.8	-0.58
Rusty LaRue	28	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-2	1	17.9	17.5	0.36	11.3	15.8	-4.53
Greg Ostertag	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-7	11	17.5	17.7	-0.18	15.0	14.1	0.96
Quincy Lewis	51	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.55	13	-16	29	15.9	20.0	-4.11	15.1	13.7	1.43
Jarron Collins	26	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	8	-19	20.4	16.5	3.85	14.6	14.5	0.09
Andrei Kirilenko	23	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	9	-21	20.1	16.8	3.34	13.7	14.8	-1.05
John Stockton	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	17.5	18.0	-0.55	15.5	11.7	3.86
Donyell Marshall	70	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-8	13	16.9	20.4	-3.54	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Bryon Russell	36	34	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	15	-33	20.2	15.9	4.34	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Karl Malone	72	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	5	-13	17.8	17.0	0.81	14.8	13.3	1.55

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	69	70	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.37	21	-18	39	13.9	16.7	-2.88	18.4	15.1	3.27
Vlade Divac	69	68	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-12	27	14.7	14.0	0.67	18.1	16.3	1.76
Peja Stojakovic	77	78	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.50	9	-6	15	14.2	16.8	-2.68	17.6	18.0	-0.41
Chris Webber	83	84	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-4	11	14.3	17.8	-3.56	17.8	15.0	2.83
Doug Christie	77	77	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	14.5	14.3	0.21	17.7	17.5	0.12
Scot Pollard	19	21	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.00	-12	15	-27	14.7	14.5	0.28	16.8	17.9	-1.15
Hedo Turkoglu	24	25	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.05	-12	15	-27	16.3	13.8	2.49	17.2	17.8	-0.62
Bobby Jackson	27	27	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	0.07	-19	22	-41	15.7	14.0	1.70	15.3	18.7	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 82, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.44,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.38,0.46,0.77,0.69,1	90.7%
MIA 103, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.96,1	90.7%
DAL 105, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.9,1	90.5%