NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	9.7 [78]		MVP	Gerald Green (DAL): +30.0%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	1.7 [574]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): -18.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.10	0.19	-0.01	9	68%	0.30	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	14	76%	0.38	5	-0.24	1	0%	-0.13
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	20	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	10	55%	0.18	4	-0.29	2	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	0.06	-0.15	0.05	16	56%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Josh Howard	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	15	34%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.25,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.21	-0.01	18	56%	0.35	3	-0.09	14	100%	0.19
Nene	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.03	0.01	12	68%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	13	48%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.04
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	61%	0.11	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	7	44%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	17	39%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	3.5	30.1	18.7	27.3	3.4	44.2	156.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -54.4%

DEN +35.3%

DEN +24.1%

DEN +49.1%

DAL -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DEN	NBA	DAL	DEN	NBA
this game	16.7	12.7	15.5	107.1	110.2	106.4
season	15.6	14.4		108.9	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.3	18.3	20.1	14.0	16.7
DEN	12.9	12.5	12.1	13.1	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	53	53	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-7	11	16.8	16.6	0.23	13.8	11.4	2.38
Erick Dampier	18	20	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-3	3	16.2	16.8	-0.68	15.9	11.8	4.13
Jose Juan Barea	2	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	2	-7	12.0	16.8	-4.82	6.0	12.7	-6.73
Jason Kidd	81	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.53	12	-15	27	16.6	17.5	-0.97	12.9	11.3	1.61
Jason Terry	79	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-10	17	16.0	19.6	-3.54	13.2	10.4	2.72
DeSagana Diop	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	4	-11	20.3	14.3	5.99	12.2	13.0	-0.85
Antoine Wright	20	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	11	-25	18.6	16.2	2.36	10.8	13.1	-2.31
Brandon Bass	57	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-7	11	15.8	18.0	-2.19	11.9	13.6	-1.68
Gerald Green	32	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	15.1	17.5	-2.42	12.0	13.0	-1.03
Dirk Nowitzki	81	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.52	2	-5	7	16.0	20.4	-4.39	12.6	13.0	-0.40
Jerry Stackhouse	28	28	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	16	-35	19.2	15.7	3.49	10.6	13.5	-2.83

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	74	72	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.51	7	-4	11	12.6	12.8	-0.17	15.9	18.9	-2.99
Nene	72	72	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.50	4	-1	5	13.3	11.0	2.32	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Carmelo Anthony	68	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.56	0	3	-3	12.9	12.2	0.62	16.3	17.6	-1.31
Chauncey Billups	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	4	-5	13.0	12.1	0.94	15.9	18.4	-2.49
J.R. Smith	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-9	21	12.0	13.5	-1.53	18.1	15.2	2.84
Anthony Carter	52	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	8	-13	12.0	13.4	-1.41	16.2	17.3	-1.17
Chris Andersen	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	-3	9	11.7	13.2	-1.48	18.6	15.7	2.87
Linas Kleiza	30	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.11	0	3	-3	12.0	13.0	-0.96	18.3	15.9	2.40
Dahntay Jones	43	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.06	-8	11	-19	13.8	11.8	2.05	16.5	16.9	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	92.9%
ATL 98, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.79,0.75,0.93,1	92.3%
MEM 85, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	91.9%