NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	7.8 [244]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +30.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	1.9 [299]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): -14.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.19	0.03	13	71%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	13	59%	0.06	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	15	56%	0.14	6	-0.23	6	100%	0.04
Marvin Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Al Horford	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	54%	0.03	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	13	40%	-0.02	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.07	0.20	-0.02	12	74%	0.40	5	-0.11	10	50%	-0.06
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.11	0.03	7	70%	0.20	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	82%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	12	43%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.5	32.4	15.8	26.1	2.5	32.5	136.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +7.8%

PHI +6.6%

PHI +11.5%

PHI +24.3%

ATL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	15.3	107.7	115.4	106.0
season	16.0	15.1		109.4	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.8		108.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	14.8	16.0	17.9	16.0
PHI	16.5	15.8	13.5	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	27	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-7	7	16.2	15.9	0.26	16.1	15.4	0.71
Mario West	1	1	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.04	0	-7	7	4.0	16.1	-12.13	1.0	15.8	-14.81
Jeff Teague	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	13.2	16.3	-3.02	16.4	15.6	0.80
Marvin Williams	56	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-5	3	16.4	15.3	1.11	15.5	15.9	-0.49
Joe Smith	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-1	-5	12.4	16.3	-3.87	18.1	15.4	2.70
Maurice Evans	27	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	0	-7	15.1	16.4	-1.26	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Mike Bibby	57	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	16.3	15.5	0.85	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Joe Johnson	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-6	5	16.4	14.7	1.67	15.7	15.5	0.16
Jamal Crawford	57	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-4	1	15.3	17.1	-1.83	15.8	15.3	0.47
Josh Smith	74	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	16.7	12.8	3.91	15.8	15.1	0.74
Al Horford	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-5	3	15.9	16.3	-0.38	15.6	15.7	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	64	63	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-8	23	14.7	17.9	-3.19	15.7	16.6	-0.93
Andre Iguodala	78	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-6	19	14.7	21.2	-6.42	15.6	17.9	-2.31
Elton Brand	71	69	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-1	9	15.6	15.9	-0.32	15.9	16.3	-0.42
Jrue Holiday	73	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	2	3	15.4	16.6	-1.20	16.2	15.3	0.83
Samuel Dalembert	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	1	5	16.4	14.9	1.47	16.6	15.5	1.10
Jason Smith	30	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	8	-9	15.7	15.6	0.03	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Marreese Speights	34	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	7	-7	16.0	15.4	0.56	16.3	15.8	0.56
Jodie Meeks	5	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	10	-13	23.2	15.2	7.99	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Willie Green	26	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	8	-9	17.6	14.9	2.75	16.9	15.6	1.32
Rodney Carney	30	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	14	-21	16.3	15.3	0.97	15.7	16.2	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.79,0.75,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	93.7%
DAL 105, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.9,1	92.3%
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	92.1%