NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	85		Excitement	8.5 [167]		MVP	Etan Thomas (WAS): +24.5%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	1.5 [865]		LVP	Jason Williams (MEM): -39.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Gill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Antonis Fotsis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0	-0.05	0.05	0.01	9	62%	0.09	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Rodney Buford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Will Solomon	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.18,-0.2,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.08	8	50%	-0.05
Lorenzen Wright	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Shane Battier	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	9	41%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.39	-0.19	-0.23	-0.03	20	35%	-0.17	5	-0.22	3	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.18	0.00	7	71%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	90%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,0	0.00	-0.07	0.05	-0.02	18	39%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	11	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	16	44%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	7	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.12	0.02	10	30%	-0.14	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	31.5	15.4	22.2	1.5	39.5	135.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +9.3%

WAS +0.4%

WAS +17.5%

WAS +24.2%

MEM -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.6	91.4	93.6	102.3
season	15.7	16.5		96.0	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	12.9	18.1	15.5	15.4
WAS	14.7	17.1	14.6	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonis Fotsis	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	0.0	15.4	-15.40	9.0	15.5	-6.47
Eddie Gill	1	1	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	8.0	15.5	-7.48	2.0	15.5	-13.55
Will Solomon	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-2	1	17.6	14.3	3.30	13.9	16.2	-2.32
Tony Massenburg	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	2	-7	15.0	15.7	-0.74	16.1	14.8	1.25
Lorenzen Wright	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-4	5	16.8	14.3	2.43	15.9	15.1	0.80
Stromile Swift	58	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-8	13	14.3	17.2	-2.94	15.6	15.1	0.50
Pau Gasol	59	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	2	-7	14.7	16.6	-1.92	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Shane Battier	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	2	-7	16.2	13.6	2.58	15.7	14.8	0.94
Rodney Buford	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-3	3	14.8	17.8	-3.07	15.6	14.8	0.77
Jason Williams	93	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.4	0.0	15.40	15.4	0.0	15.40

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	54	53	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-8	19	15.1	15.8	-0.73	15.0	15.9	-0.97
Chris Whitney	42	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-5	13	14.2	16.4	-2.19	17.0	14.0	2.98
Courtney Alexander	65	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	5	-7	15.4	15.4	0.04	15.6	15.1	0.49
Kwame Brown	29	27	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	-5	13	14.8	15.7	-0.93	16.0	15.2	0.85
Tyronn Lue	55	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	6	-9	15.7	15.0	0.69	13.9	17.3	-3.43
Jahidi White	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-4	11	15.3	15.4	-0.10	16.8	14.5	2.34
Bobby Simmons	18	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	-5	13	16.1	15.2	0.87	12.6	16.2	-3.50
Etan Thomas	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	6	-9	16.5	15.1	1.37	15.6	15.3	0.25
Richard Hamilton	57	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.40	-10	13	-23	14.8	16.4	-1.61	16.1	14.4	1.66
Popeye Jones	52	54	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	9	-15	16.3	14.2	2.11	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Brendan Haywood	41	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	6	-9	16.0	15.0	1.01	14.7	15.9	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.91,1	93.5%
PHI 90, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.0%
CHI 81, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	92.8%