inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 87 Excitement5.4 [454] MVPMatt Harpring (ORL): +15.6%
Golden State Warriors 74 Comeback2.2 [484] LVPJohn Starks (GSW): -23.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.070.08-0.001064%0.1600.00250%-0.01
Horace Grant0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.05-0.031146%0.0600.004100%0.02
Michael Doleac0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.00650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01684%0.114-0.08786%0.02
Ike Austin-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.120.01-0.091235%-0.0200.001040%0.00
Derek Strong-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.04940%0.012-0.052100%0.01
Dominique Wilkins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Nick Anderson-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.130.02-0.041626%-0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.021333%-0.071-0.03450%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.040.05-0.031145%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.01683%0.033-0.0300%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.02-0.011157%0.021-0.03862%-0.01
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.031237%-0.0200.00367%0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.01250%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Felton Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00643%-0.021-0.0220%-0.03
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.011343%0.002-0.072100%0.01
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.17-0.03-0.041014%-0.132-0.03250%-0.01
John Starks0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.18-0.06-0.011217%-0.143-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.50.730.214.722.41.636.0129.1
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +41.5%
ORL +5.1%
GSW -14.2%
ORL +15.1%
ORL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLGSWNBAORLGSWNBA
this game15.515.315.893.578.799.6
season16.115.998.095.1
opponent15.515.698.195.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.713.817.115.715.5
GSW12.615.018.915.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac39390.57-0.070.640.0119-62514.816.0-1.1215.015.5-0.53
Darrell Armstrong69700.56-0.060.61-0.0019-62514.817.4-2.5915.016.2-1.21
Derek Strong37400.480.020.470.101301316.015.20.8415.015.5-0.54
Matt Harpring53540.420.080.340.2758-317.113.43.7215.515.00.45
Nick Anderson75760.330.170.150.0694514.918.1-3.2415.215.6-0.37
Anfernee Hardaway74740.240.26-0.020.0185315.913.92.0115.415.00.33
Horace Grant62600.030.47-0.450.14-417-2115.914.71.1815.514.90.62
Dominique Wilkins88-0.040.54-0.580.02-215-1712.715.8-3.0016.715.21.58
Ike Austin4849-0.080.58-0.65-0.02-215-1715.115.9-0.7615.515.10.46

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bimbo Coles54550.23-0.730.96-0.0610-233313.917.3-3.4216.314.41.86
Erick Dampier5352-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-151715.714.80.9416.714.02.72
Chris Mills7979-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-10715.414.80.6115.913.42.52
John Starks4343-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-4-9515.515.20.2916.614.61.98
Adonal Foyle3736-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-4-516.214.71.5015.415.5-0.13
Antawn Jamison2321-0.28-0.22-0.070.13-141-1515.115.4-0.2413.116.2-3.10
Felton Spencer1414-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-4-517.115.02.0714.315.7-1.42
Terry Cummings4040-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.11-7-6-114.615.8-1.1514.116.5-2.36
Donyell Marshall8181-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-8314.918.2-3.3016.012.04.01
Tony Delk4644-0.730.23-0.960.03-2613-3916.414.22.2113.317.5-4.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 95, MEM 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,093.8%
SAS 109, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,093.6%
MIA 101, BKN 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.02,0,093.1%