NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	95		Excitement	5.4 [751]		MVP	David West (NOK): +19.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	86		Comeback	2.2 [254]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOK): -14.0%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.00	15	59%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	6	83%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	9	75%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	83%	0.04	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	18	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Jackson Vroman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	13	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.01	4	-0.13	12	92%	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	13	74%	0.19	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.06	16	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	9	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	30.3	17.6	28.6	2.7	26.5	134.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +23.4%

NOK +6.7%

NOK +15.0%

NOK +9.7%

MEM -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	MEM	NBA	NOK	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	17.3	15.6	105.6	98.9	104.4
season	16.3	17.1		101.2	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		100.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	14.2	14.1	16.6	16.9	15.3
MEM	14.6	18.0	17.7	19.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	50	48	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-1	11	16.1	14.3	1.82	19.7	14.3	5.36
David West	74	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	0	9	15.7	13.7	1.97	16.9	18.7	-1.79
P.J. Brown	72	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	3	3	16.0	12.7	3.31	18.2	13.9	4.24
Speedy Claxton	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-3	15	14.2	17.5	-3.27	16.8	18.3	-1.51
Rasual Butler	26	26	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	1	7	15.7	15.2	0.48	19.3	16.4	2.86
Bostjan Nachbar	5	5	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	5	-1	14.0	15.4	-1.39	19.8	17.1	2.69
Jackson Vroman	32	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	4	1	13.5	16.3	-2.86	16.2	18.0	-1.79
Chris Paul	71	67	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.7	13.9	1.73	16.0	21.6	-5.63
Desmond Mason	61	58	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	14	-19	15.0	15.9	-0.86	16.1	19.6	-3.43

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	32	34	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.09	6	-15	21	17.5	17.1	0.32	15.9	14.9	0.97
Dahntay Jones	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-7	5	15.6	17.5	-1.91	11.2	15.8	-4.54
Brian Cardinal	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-2	-5	16.7	17.4	-0.69	10.5	16.1	-5.55
Antonio Burks	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-2	-5	16.7	17.4	-0.69	10.5	16.1	-5.55
Shane Battier	63	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-13	17	17.5	16.7	0.71	16.1	12.9	3.28
Eddie Jones	51	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-10	11	17.5	17.0	0.45	16.7	13.2	3.57
Hakim Warrick	31	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	17.1	17.3	-0.21	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Chucky Atkins	28	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	0	-9	16.9	17.4	-0.50	13.1	16.3	-3.14
Mike Miller	50	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.15	-10	1	-11	17.0	17.6	-0.67	15.6	14.9	0.78
Bobby Jackson	64	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	17.8	15.7	2.13	16.1	13.1	2.93
Pau Gasol	83	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	0	-9	17.2	19.0	-1.82	15.4	13.3	2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0,0	95.3%
HOU 82, VAN 75	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	95.2%
UTA 89, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%