NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	5.6 [686]		MVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): +19.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	75		Comeback	2.1 [455]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -21.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	7	86%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.04	0.03	9	73%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	17	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	10	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	7	6%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.03	14	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	17	67%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	8	25%	-0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	23.2	15.6	26.3	2.4	28.6	124.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.6%

VAN -8.6%

HOU +15.0%

VAN -11.0%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	VAN	NBA	HOU	VAN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.5	15.5	91.1	85.2	100.9
season	16.3	15.6		104.6	97.4
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	15.6	14.2	19.2	15.9
VAN	16.5	17.1	17.2	15.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	45	44	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-10	27	16.9	14.9	2.00	16.3	16.6	-0.27
Matt Bullard	43	43	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-8	23	17.4	14.5	2.88	16.1	16.8	-0.75
Cuttino Mobley	73	70	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	16.0	15.2	0.81	16.4	16.9	-0.52
Walt Williams	42	45	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-2	11	17.5	14.5	2.93	17.0	15.9	1.07
Steve Francis	75	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	6	-5	15.9	15.7	0.19	16.7	15.7	0.97
Moochie Norris	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	5	-3	15.5	16.0	-0.53	14.2	17.5	-3.31
Shandon Anderson	53	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	9	-11	14.6	17.8	-3.17	17.1	15.6	1.53
Hakeem Olajuwon	47	45	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	15	-23	14.5	17.4	-2.88	16.8	16.1	0.75
Maurice Taylor	45	44	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	17	-27	14.9	16.9	-2.00	16.6	16.3	0.27

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	30	32	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-15	23	17.2	16.1	1.05	15.3	16.2	-0.85
Michael Dickerson	6	5	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-13	19	12.3	16.8	-4.45	18.8	15.7	3.08
Othella Harrington	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-5	3	16.7	16.0	0.77	15.2	17.1	-1.82
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	14	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-5	3	17.0	16.4	0.62	14.5	16.2	-1.63
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-9	11	15.9	18.8	-2.96	16.2	14.4	1.81
Mike Bibby	68	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-6	5	16.0	18.1	-2.16	16.2	14.8	1.42
Stromile Swift	16	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	18.3	16.1	2.24	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Grant Long	44	44	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	6	-19	16.4	16.5	-0.14	16.4	15.4	1.06
Damon Jones	82	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	6	-19	16.8	12.3	4.45	15.7	18.8	-3.08
Bryant Reeves	52	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	7	-21	16.6	16.3	0.29	16.0	15.7	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 95, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0	95.2%
NOH 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0,0	94.6%
UTA 89, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%