NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	5.4 [735]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +20.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	73		Comeback	1.8 [840]		LVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): -13.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.06	0.02	12	75%	0.22	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.06
Mehmet Okur	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.08	-0.02	10	55%	0.16	1	-0.04	9	67%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	10	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Morris Almond	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.02	-0.05	9	22%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.04	12	68%	0.21	5	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.05	-0.06	15	41%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	9	61%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	4	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	15	33%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	27.9	15.0	26.1	2.4	31.3	127.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -5.4%

UTA +31.9%

UTA +5.9%

UTA +14.2%

UTA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.5	100.0	82.0	106.4
season	15.3	15.7		107.7	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	13.3	19.1	17.7	16.6
LAC	17.3	16.2	16.9	13.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	62	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.13	24	-8	32	15.3	19.6	-4.32	15.0	17.6	-2.55
Paul Millsap	62	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.13	24	-8	32	15.3	19.6	-4.32	15.0	17.6	-2.55
Brevin Knight	46	47	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	-3	22	15.3	18.0	-2.74	14.7	17.0	-2.32
Mehmet Okur	61	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	1	14	16.9	15.9	1.01	16.0	15.1	0.93
Kyle Korver	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	2	12	15.5	17.8	-2.29	14.5	17.1	-2.65
Ronnie Brewer	43	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	14	-12	17.8	15.5	2.29	17.1	14.5	2.65
Ronnie Price	43	42	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	19	-22	18.0	15.3	2.74	17.0	14.7	2.32
Morris Almond	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	23.0	16.4	6.56	7.0	15.9	-8.88
Kosta Koufos	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	23.0	16.4	6.56	7.0	15.9	-8.88
Kyrylo Fesenko	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	23.0	16.4	6.56	7.0	15.9	-8.88
Carlos Boozer	51	50	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	19	-22	17.3	15.6	1.66	16.7	14.6	2.16
CJ Miles	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	22	-28	19.3	15.5	3.80	18.0	14.9	3.09

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	8.4	16.4	-7.97	17.3	16.5	0.76
Brian Skinner	3	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-11	6	25.3	15.4	9.89	16.7	16.6	0.09
Mike Taylor	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-14	12	14.9	16.2	-1.29	16.5	16.7	-0.20
Al Thornton	75	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-12	8	15.5	17.2	-1.71	16.9	14.5	2.49
Chris Kaman	72	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	15.9	15.1	0.89	17.0	14.8	2.19
Cuttino Mobley	66	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-9	2	16.9	12.7	4.21	17.3	14.5	2.84
Tim Thomas	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-5	-6	17.1	13.6	3.49	16.5	16.7	-0.26
Baron Davis	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	-2	-12	16.1	15.1	1.07	16.4	16.9	-0.43
Marcus Camby	51	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	-1	-14	14.1	18.0	-3.93	16.1	17.3	-1.21
Ricky Davis	26	25	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	1	-18	14.8	16.2	-1.31	13.8	17.7	-3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 95, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.1%
CHI 100, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	93.2%
ORL 110, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%