NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	6.2 [590]		MVP	Jason Richardson (ORL): +16.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	1.7 [922]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -17.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	13	77%	0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.07	-0.04	10	60%	0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	7	78%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.00	8	53%	0.11	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.03	0.08	15	71%	0.08	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.04	11	52%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	7	-0.21	6	67%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	8	60%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	65%	0.11	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.06	13	66%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	7	14%	-0.12
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	11	56%	0.01	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	31.0	15.8	28.0	2.4	27.5	133.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +58.3%

CLE -3.8%

ORL +4.0%

CLE -10.8%

ORL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	15.5	111.1	96.9	105.7
season	15.2	15.1		106.3	100.8
opponent	15.4	16.2		110.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	14.8	14.4	16.4	14.9
CLE	15.8	11.9	17.0	13.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	46	48	0.78	-0.28	1.07	-0.01	27	-12	39	14.8	15.0	-0.23	14.5	14.2	0.30
Gilbert Arenas	67	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.05	24	-9	33	14.7	15.5	-0.84	13.6	15.9	-2.34
Earl Clark	39	37	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-3	21	15.6	14.5	1.09	12.7	15.3	-2.62
Hedo Turkoglu	75	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	8	-1	15.3	13.7	1.61	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Jameer Nelson	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	7	1	15.9	13.3	2.65	14.5	14.1	0.40
JJ Redick	42	42	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	7	1	13.8	15.7	-1.90	13.8	14.7	-0.83
Dwight Howard	59	59	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	16	-17	14.3	15.8	-1.54	15.6	12.4	3.23
Jason Richardson	59	57	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	20	-25	14.4	15.7	-1.29	15.2	13.1	2.08
Brandon Bass	46	44	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.08	-11	26	-37	15.4	14.5	0.86	14.4	14.3	0.10

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	63	64	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	14.8	13.3	1.50	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Manny Harris	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-11	7	9.5	14.5	-5.01	19.7	14.7	5.02
Anthony Parker	66	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-17	19	14.5	13.8	0.69	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Mo Williams	67	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-13	11	14.4	14.0	0.40	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Ryan Hollins	9	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-7	-1	12.9	14.4	-1.56	17.9	14.6	3.30
Daniel Gibson	71	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-9	3	14.8	13.0	1.85	15.1	14.5	0.58
JJ Hickson	65	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-3	-9	14.7	13.5	1.19	14.5	15.7	-1.25
Ramon Sessions	44	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	0	-15	13.5	14.9	-1.38	15.4	14.6	0.78
Antawn Jamison	59	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	-1	-13	13.5	15.5	-2.00	15.2	14.6	0.61
Jamario Moon	42	42	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	5	-25	14.1	14.4	-0.29	14.7	15.1	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 98, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
UTA 106, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
MIL 94, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.4%