inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Excitement5.9 [655] MVPCharlie Bell (MIL): +10.6%
Toronto Raptors 81 Comeback1.6 [332] LVPMo Williams (MIL): -20.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Bell0.110,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.050.021756%0.1100.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut0.080,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.020.031458%0.0800.00367%0.01
Charlie Villanueva0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.030.02870%0.101-0.03475%-0.00
Ruben Patterson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.06-0.01756%0.112-0.05250%-0.01
Lynn Greer0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Reiner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Skinner-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
David Noel-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Michael Redd-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.011851%0.063-0.105100%0.03
Mo Williams-0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.13-0.070.011736%-0.084-0.132100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrick Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Uros Slokar00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jorge Garbajosa0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.08-0.010.07965%-0.0100.0020%-0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02250%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
T.J. Ford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.041142%-0.002-0.022100%0.02
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.02945%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.03-0.031547%0.054-0.11475%-0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.01858%0.054-0.12875%0.01
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00736%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.08-0.100.001236%-0.132-0.06450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.82.733.218.424.63.527.2131.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +48.7%
TOR -2.5%
TOR -7.1%
MIL +8.5%
MIL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game16.714.815.4102.289.0104.5
season15.215.2105.3104.7
opponent15.415.5104.1109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.215.716.518.416.7
TOR16.514.912.315.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ruben Patterson40400.53-0.030.560.151301315.317.7-2.3515.414.41.05
Mo Williams78790.500.000.500.18112916.915.21.7015.212.52.66
Charlie Villanueva47450.450.050.41-0.0718-52316.317.0-0.7715.614.11.47
Andrew Bogut75740.430.070.350.071211116.517.2-0.6414.615.9-1.31
Charlie Bell87860.410.090.330.2176116.715.01.7514.716.6-1.89
Michael Redd73720.350.150.190.1185316.915.81.0914.416.2-1.77
David Noel17160.100.40-0.300.04211-915.516.9-1.3815.014.80.23
Lynn Greer110.000.50-0.50-0.06211-923.016.66.4212.014.8-2.84
Jared Reiner110.000.50-0.50-0.06211-923.016.66.4212.014.8-2.84
Ersan Ilyasova110.000.50-0.50-0.06211-923.016.66.4212.014.8-2.84
Brian Skinner4040-0.270.77-1.040.08-1225-3717.516.01.5414.215.3-1.14

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic42420.15-0.650.79-0.067-202715.014.70.3517.516.01.52
Darrick Martin110.00-0.500.500.06-2-11912.014.8-2.8423.016.66.42
Uros Slokar110.00-0.500.500.06-2-11912.014.8-2.8423.016.66.42
Kris Humphries1617-0.02-0.480.460.07-3-10714.314.9-0.6115.716.9-1.16
Joey Graham1313-0.13-0.370.240.07-7-6-113.115.1-2.0314.817.0-2.19
Jorge Garbajosa6060-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-10713.716.9-3.1217.215.61.58
Morris Peterson5051-0.20-0.300.09-0.15-2-11915.713.81.8817.216.01.13
T.J. Ford5860-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-4-9514.814.9-0.1017.415.22.15
Chris Bosh7878-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.10-8-5-314.516.8-2.3716.517.7-1.25
Juan Dixon3635-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-11-2-915.714.31.4115.517.4-1.84
Jose Calderon4343-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.12-12-1-1114.814.80.0516.416.9-0.53
Andrea Bargnani5759-0.670.17-0.84-0.14-185-2315.613.42.1915.918.0-2.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 96, POR 820.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,093.9%
CHA 98, CHI 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,093.7%
DEN 106, GSW 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,093.7%