NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	5.7 [677]		MVP	Brian Roberts (CHA): +15.2%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	2.1 [151]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (CHI): -9.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	8	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	15	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	125%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	12	60%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	17	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.05	0.00	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	6	44%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	20	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	12	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	23.3	17.4	23.6	2.4	28.5	119.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +23.6%

CHA +5.8%

CHA +10.8%

CHA +9.1%

CHA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.1	105.4	94.5	104.2
season	15.6	15.5		98.9	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	16.9	15.0	15.6	15.5
CHI	16.5	17.4	14.3	15.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	39	39	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-3	18	16.2	15.0	1.19	17.3	14.6	2.65
Lance Stephenson	41	42	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-2	16	15.8	15.3	0.48	16.0	15.5	0.52
Marvin Williams	38	37	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	-1	14	14.6	16.2	-1.53	16.4	15.3	1.07
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	81	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	4	4	15.7	14.4	1.29	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Al Jefferson	64	61	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	6	0	16.2	14.1	2.03	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Gerald Henderson	64	61	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	10	-8	15.2	16.4	-1.22	15.9	15.6	0.30
Jason Maxiell	29	30	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	6	0	14.1	16.2	-2.03	16.5	15.4	1.04
Cody Zeller	55	54	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	13	-14	16.2	14.6	1.53	15.3	16.4	-1.07
Mo Williams	54	52	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	15	-18	15.0	16.2	-1.19	14.6	17.3	-2.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	37	38	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-16	20	15.2	16.1	-0.89	16.0	15.2	0.83
Aaron Brooks	53	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-14	16	15.2	16.5	-1.25	15.8	15.1	0.67
Joakim Noah	63	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-16	20	15.6	16.2	-0.69	16.4	13.8	2.57
Pau Gasol	67	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-8	4	15.3	17.1	-1.78	15.1	16.8	-1.65
Nikola Mirotic	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	16.6	15.5	1.14	17.0	15.1	1.86
Jimmy Butler	69	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.5	16.6	-1.14	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Kirk Hinrich	38	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	2	-16	16.5	15.2	1.25	15.1	15.8	-0.67
Tony Snell	54	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.09	-16	4	-20	16.1	15.2	0.89	15.2	16.0	-0.83
Taj Gibson	52	53	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	0.02	-24	12	-36	16.6	14.6	2.02	15.1	16.1	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
MIL 100, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.8%
MIL 94, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.7%