NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	4.8 [822]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): +12.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	82		Comeback	1.7 [339]		LVP	John Crotty (POR): -14.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.05	10	77%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	14	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	14	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	75%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.04	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	62%	0.00	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.03	13	65%	0.04	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	9	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.10	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	23.9	16.0	23.2	2.3	29.5	122.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.9%

CLE +3.7%

POR -10.6%

CLE +21.6%

CLE +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	17.2	16.5	15.6	112.9	95.3	102.5
season	15.4	15.9		99.4	101.9
opponent	15.4	16.0		100.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.6	14.8	15.8	18.9	17.2
POR	16.4	15.8	17.7	16.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	56	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	3	8	17.3	16.8	0.51	17.4	14.7	2.63
Shawn Kemp	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	0	14	17.1	17.4	-0.23	16.7	15.2	1.48
Vitaly Potapenko	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	1	12	17.1	17.3	-0.16	15.8	18.3	-2.53
Derek Anderson	43	44	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	5	4	17.3	17.0	0.23	16.5	16.6	-0.09
Bob Sura	33	34	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	3	8	16.1	17.9	-1.80	16.9	16.3	0.59
Brevin Knight	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	6	2	16.9	17.8	-0.88	16.2	17.3	-1.07
Wesley Person	65	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	6	2	18.0	14.5	3.48	16.1	17.7	-1.62
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	31	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	18	-22	16.8	17.4	-0.61	17.0	16.3	0.71

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	3	2	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-16	18	11.0	16.7	-5.72	23.0	17.0	5.98
Rick Brunson	57	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-11	8	16.0	17.6	-1.55	18.3	15.0	3.23
Jermaine O'Neal	12	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-6	-2	17.1	16.4	0.65	13.1	17.7	-4.61
Walt Williams	33	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-14	14	15.2	17.4	-2.18	16.1	17.8	-1.67
Stacey Augmon	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-11	8	16.8	15.9	0.92	17.3	16.8	0.57
Rasheed Wallace	67	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-13	12	16.7	16.0	0.67	17.7	15.0	2.67
Brian Grant	29	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-1	-12	15.1	17.2	-2.09	19.1	16.1	2.99
Arvydas Sabonis	66	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	0	-14	17.3	13.9	3.42	16.6	18.9	-2.31
John Crotty	29	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-3	-8	17.6	16.0	1.55	15.0	18.3	-3.23
Isaiah Rider	75	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.04	-19	5	-24	16.7	15.2	1.54	17.1	17.5	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 113, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MIL 94, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.9%
DAL 94, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.8%