NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	6.0 [585]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +13.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	84		Comeback	2.3 [217]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -15.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	20	57%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	69%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.07	0.02	14	59%	0.12	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	21	52%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	12	54%	-0.03	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	16	51%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	13	44%	-0.02	4	-0.09	6	33%	-0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	9	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	19	37%	-0.09	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.07	0.03	6	50%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.5	15.6	27.2	2.3	34.5	136.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +62.0%

POR -14.6%

POR -5.1%

DAL +10.1%

POR -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.5	98.9	87.5	100.9
season	15.2	15.8		104.6	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.3		100.3	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.6	12.5	16.2	15.9	15.0
POR	15.1	17.0	13.8	14.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	85	87	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-6	22	14.7	17.6	-2.91	15.3	13.8	1.52
Steve Nash	63	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.07	17	-7	24	15.0	15.0	-0.05	15.1	15.3	-0.27
Greg Buckner	34	33	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	3	4	16.1	14.4	1.74	15.9	14.8	1.10
Michael Finley	89	91	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	4	2	15.1	12.8	2.31	14.8	21.2	-6.38
Shawn Bradley	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	9	-8	16.8	13.6	3.18	16.1	14.4	1.73
Juwan Howard	75	76	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	5	0	14.9	15.2	-0.32	15.3	14.6	0.70
Calvin Booth	50	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	9	-8	13.7	16.5	-2.79	14.5	15.9	-1.46
Howard Eisley	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	13	-16	14.3	15.5	-1.18	14.7	15.4	-0.74

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	63	64	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-16	22	14.2	17.0	-2.76	15.2	14.5	0.67
Stacey Augmon	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-11	12	14.4	15.5	-1.13	15.6	14.7	0.94
Arvydas Sabonis	47	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-13	16	15.6	14.8	0.82	17.2	12.9	4.34
Shawn Kemp	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	14.7	15.2	-0.48	13.7	15.1	-1.39
Bonzi Wells	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	15.1	15.3	-0.23	15.4	14.3	1.15
Rasheed Wallace	85	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-5	0	15.0	16.5	-1.47	14.8	16.8	-2.06
Scottie Pippen	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	14.9	16.2	-1.38	14.7	16.2	-1.53
Dale Davis	36	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	16.1	14.6	1.53	12.8	16.2	-3.44
Rod Strickland	24	24	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	4	-18	18.2	14.1	4.12	15.5	14.8	0.61
Steven Smith	52	51	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	3	-16	15.2	15.1	0.04	14.1	16.0	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.6%
SAC 104, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0	94.1%
IND 103, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%