NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	6.2 [534]		MVP	Dale Davis (IND): +15.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.5 [456]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -18.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.07	0.02	9	78%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.01	7	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Vincent Askew	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Travis Best	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05	15	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Brent Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	19	51%	0.04	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Walters	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.05	-0.04	17	62%	0.21	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	64%	0.01	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	0.05	12	70%	0.08	8	-0.23	6	83%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.07	-0.03	20	37%	-0.13	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	22.2	14.8	25.2	2.4	34.4	127.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.2%

PHI -0.5%

PHI -2.7%

IND +18.6%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	17.6	15.6	117.0	103.4	104.4
season	15.3	14.7		103.6	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.3		108.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	14.0	14.5	17.6	14.9
PHI	16.6	16.0	20.8	17.5	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	73	73	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	4	3	15.7	11.2	4.50	17.7	17.1	0.65
Dale Davis	48	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	16.0	13.7	2.30	19.6	15.0	4.67
Reggie Miller	69	70	0.40	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	6	-1	15.0	14.8	0.11	17.0	19.8	-2.86
Travis Best	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	2	7	14.5	15.8	-1.27	17.9	17.1	0.77
Vincent Askew	40	41	0.31	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	2	7	15.2	14.7	0.45	18.9	16.5	2.33
Jerome Allen	34	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	15.6	14.5	1.12	16.4	18.4	-2.03
Duane Ferrell	31	30	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	6	-1	14.5	15.2	-0.69	16.0	18.4	-2.46
Antonio Davis	34	33	0.14	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	8	-5	13.3	16.0	-2.72	17.9	17.4	0.55
Jalen Rose	17	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.06	4	7	-3	14.6	15.0	-0.43	18.5	17.4	1.08
Brent Scott	2	3	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	10	-9	5.0	15.2	-10.16	6.7	18.0	-11.31
Fred Hoiberg	2	3	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	10	-9	5.0	15.2	-10.16	6.7	18.0	-11.31
Derrick McKey	34	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	17	-23	14.4	15.3	-0.94	16.5	18.3	-1.73

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bradtke	1	1	0.00	-0.51	0.51	0.00	0	-11	11	1.0	17.8	-16.78	10.0	15.0	-4.99
Mark Hendrickson	1	1	0.00	-0.51	0.51	0.00	0	-11	11	1.0	17.8	-16.78	10.0	15.0	-4.99
Scott Williams	60	59	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-10	9	17.9	17.0	0.93	15.0	14.8	0.16
Clar. Weatherspoon	67	66	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	18.1	16.2	1.88	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Lucious Harris	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.00	-10	-1	-9	17.0	17.9	-0.90	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Mark Davis	37	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	16.4	18.4	-1.99	16.3	14.0	2.32
Michael Cage	22	22	-0.33	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	18.6	17.3	1.38	16.0	14.6	1.48
Rex Walters	79	77	-0.36	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	17.5	18.6	-1.13	14.5	17.7	-3.19
Jerry Stackhouse	73	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	17.5	18.2	-0.72	15.1	14.0	1.14
Derrick Coleman	75	75	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	18.1	14.6	3.50	14.9	14.8	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.1%
DAL 94, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.1%
MEM 92, UTA 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%