NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	5.6 [706]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHI): +12.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	87		Comeback	1.4 [733]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (CHA): -20.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	19	64%	0.17	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	14	32%	-0.12	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.08	0.01	0.09	26	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.05	8	83%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	0.05	7	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	12	42%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	11	27%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	14	29%	-0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.3	27.6	15.3	21.5	2.4	38.8	128.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +49.8%

CHI +0.7%

CHA -8.7%

CHI +6.7%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.1	92.7	91.6	105.2
season	16.3	15.7		101.1	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.7	15.0	14.3	14.1	15.0
CHA	14.6	16.9	15.7	13.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	81	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.44	2	0	2	14.6	16.9	-2.22	15.2	14.9	0.28
Jimmy Butler	85	84	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	15.4	11.8	3.58	14.8	18.3	-3.51
Tony Snell	46	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-9	20	15.6	14.4	1.15	16.7	13.8	2.88
Taj Gibson	55	54	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.48	-2	4	-6	15.1	14.8	0.36	14.4	16.2	-1.76
D.J. Augustin	89	87	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	6	-10	14.8	17.0	-2.17	14.9	18.2	-3.36
Mike James	7	8	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	-6	14	17.0	14.8	2.17	18.2	14.9	3.36
Nazr Mohammed	7	8	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	-4	10	17.0	14.8	2.17	18.2	14.9	3.36
Mike Dunleavy	61	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.33	-9	11	-20	14.0	16.8	-2.80	14.6	16.1	-1.54
Carlos Boozer	49	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	6	-10	15.1	14.9	0.23	15.4	14.9	0.54

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	20	21	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-6	10	13.8	15.5	-1.67	15.8	14.8	1.05
Ramon Sessions	68	67	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-11	20	14.5	16.9	-2.35	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Cody Zeller	40	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-3	4	15.2	15.2	0.01	14.9	15.1	-0.16
Al Jefferson	76	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-12	22	14.9	16.2	-1.30	14.4	17.6	-3.23
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	8	-18	16.8	13.8	3.01	15.1	14.9	0.23
Anthony Tolliver	52	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.56	8	-10	18	13.8	16.8	-3.01	14.9	15.1	-0.23
Bismack Biyombo	19	19	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	8	-18	16.2	14.9	1.30	17.6	14.4	3.23
Josh McRoberts	55	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	3	-8	15.2	15.2	-0.01	15.1	14.9	0.16
Jannero Pargo	27	29	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	9	-20	16.9	14.5	2.35	16.0	14.6	1.40
Gerald Henderson	75	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	4	-10	15.5	13.8	1.67	14.8	15.8	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, CHI 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
UTA 93, MEM 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAC 104, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0	94.2%