NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	101		Excitement	6.0 [654]		MVP	Justise Winslow (MIA): +19.0%
Brooklyn Nets	89		Comeback	2.2 [625]		LVP	Dion Waiters (MIA): -14.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justise Winslow	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.01	6	107%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.02	11	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.08	-0.04	19	49%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	13	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Josh Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	42%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	10	10%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	7	68%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	10	72%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Wiley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	15	47%	0.04	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	9	55%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	10	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	26.1	14.4	23.6	2.4	32.3	124.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +38.8%

BKN -14.1%

BKN -0.3%

MIA +26.8%

BKN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	14.7	106.3	96.7	107.5
season	15.1	14.7		105.4	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.6		109.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.9	15.2	14.6	18.0	15.6
BKN	16.4	16.8	14.8	12.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	43	40	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-4	20	16.5	14.9	1.59	17.1	13.7	3.40
Bam Adebayo	40	37	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.05	20	-8	28	13.9	16.9	-3.01	16.8	14.1	2.73
Goran Dragic	60	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-4	20	14.7	17.2	-2.47	15.2	15.1	0.11
Justise Winslow	47	45	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	1	10	15.4	15.9	-0.47	16.6	13.7	2.88
Josh Richardson	64	65	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	4	4	15.7	15.5	0.14	14.4	16.9	-2.41
James Johnson	64	61	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	5	2	14.7	17.5	-2.78	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Tyler Johnson	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	10	-8	17.3	13.7	3.64	13.3	17.6	-4.33
Kelly Olynyk	55	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	20	-28	16.9	13.9	3.01	14.1	16.8	-2.73
Dion Waiters	50	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	24	-36	15.6	15.7	-0.09	15.2	15.1	0.07

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	67	70	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-19	26	13.9	18.4	-4.46	16.3	13.7	2.66
Jacob Wiley	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	4.7	15.5	-10.84	21.0	15.5	5.47
Isaiah Whitehead	32	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-19	26	12.4	16.6	-4.16	17.8	14.4	3.35
Timofey Mozgov	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-11	10	18.9	14.6	4.27	15.9	15.6	0.30
Tyler Zeller	44	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-12	12	15.9	14.4	1.49	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Allen Crabbe	61	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-6	0	15.8	13.9	1.84	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Spencer Dinwiddie	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	15.3	14.8	0.52	16.1	14.8	1.25
Quincy Acy	31	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-2	-8	14.9	15.3	-0.33	15.1	15.9	-0.76
DeMarre Carroll	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	3	-18	17.9	12.0	5.83	13.6	17.8	-4.15
Jarrett Allen	40	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	5	-22	15.7	14.7	0.97	16.0	15.4	0.61
Caris LeVert	61	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	6	-24	14.0	17.5	-3.57	15.7	15.5	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.3%
ORL 87, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.1%
MEM 88, PHX 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.28,0.44,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.1%