NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	6.2 [580]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (GSW): +20.0%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	1.8 [240]		LVP	Anthony Morrow (GSW): -19.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.09	0.03	17	62%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	8	62%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	12	59%	0.10	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Brian Cardinal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	10	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Shelden Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	11	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.11	0.02	23	60%	0.26	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	19	62%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Rob Kurz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	4	90%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	11	25%	-0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	29.3	15.4	27.5	1.8	30.0	130.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +12.5%

MIN +7.2%

MIN +15.2%

MIN +15.3%

GSW -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	14.2	15.5	112.9	104.3	106.4
season	15.8	13.8		104.3	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		111.2	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.5	15.8	15.5	19.5	16.8
GSW	14.2	14.9	14.5	13.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	41	42	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-6	20	18.4	15.4	3.02	13.4	14.9	-1.43
Kevin Ollie	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-1	10	16.7	16.8	-0.05	14.3	14.1	0.19
Sebastian Telfair	61	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	0	8	17.5	15.4	2.05	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Craig Smith	51	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	2	4	17.4	16.0	1.37	13.0	15.8	-2.80
Bobby Brown	39	40	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	3	2	18.4	15.5	2.90	13.0	15.1	-2.04
Mike Miller	61	60	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	2	4	15.4	19.2	-3.81	15.0	12.8	2.21
Brian Cardinal	48	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	8	-8	16.1	17.5	-1.43	15.4	13.0	2.32
Ryan Gomes	53	53	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	10	-12	16.0	17.8	-1.84	14.9	13.3	1.65
Kevin Love	51	50	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	14	-20	15.7	18.0	-2.32	15.0	13.3	1.70

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rob Kurz	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	12.1	14.6	-2.56	17.3	16.7	0.61
Ronny Turiaf	52	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-10	12	14.5	13.9	0.56	17.4	15.8	1.58
Kelenna Azubuike	85	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-6	4	14.4	12.7	1.60	16.5	19.2	-2.74
Jamal Crawford	82	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-4	0	14.4	12.6	1.79	16.8	16.5	0.34
Anthony Randolph	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	1	-10	15.5	12.5	3.05	15.9	18.0	-2.15
Anthony Morrow	70	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	13.9	15.0	-1.10	16.4	18.1	-1.73
Andris Biedrins	52	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	1	-10	13.1	15.7	-2.58	17.2	16.3	0.89
CJ Watson	56	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	-1	-6	14.2	14.2	-0.05	17.4	15.9	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	94.1%
LAC 92, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	94.1%
MIA 94, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.04,0,0	93.9%