NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	6.3 [590]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): +6.6%
Phoenix Suns	79		Comeback	2.0 [319]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (PHX): -17.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	53%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	13	41%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Stromile Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.01	9	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
James Posey	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	25%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	6	31%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	11	33%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	20	37%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	16	44%	-0.09	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	21	40%	-0.09	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	30.2	14.8	27.3	2.6	30.4	132.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.1%

PHX -0.8%

MEM +5.2%

MEM +14.6%

MEM +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	17.1	14.0	15.5	94.6	85.9	104.0
season	16.4	13.5		103.7	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.9	14.1	16.3	18.4	17.1
PHX	12.3	15.3	15.0	13.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	49	50	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-6	21	16.6	17.7	-1.03	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Earl Watson	49	48	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-5	19	15.9	18.5	-2.58	14.0	14.0	-0.09
Shane Battier	73	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-1	11	17.5	15.7	1.74	13.9	14.3	-0.36
Bonzi Wells	62	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	0	9	16.0	19.4	-3.45	13.5	14.9	-1.36
Stromile Swift	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-4	17	15.8	18.6	-2.84	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Pau Gasol	62	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	7	-5	18.4	14.6	3.81	14.4	13.3	1.11
James Posey	48	51	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	12	-15	17.5	16.7	0.88	13.9	14.1	-0.26
Dahntay Jones	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	6	-3	14.6	17.6	-3.01	15.4	13.7	1.66
Jason Williams	44	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	14	-19	18.5	15.9	2.58	14.0	14.0	0.09
Lorenzen Wright	13	13	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	22	-35	22.8	16.2	6.66	13.7	14.1	-0.36

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-14	19	14.5	12.9	1.64	17.9	14.7	3.19
Jake Voskuhl	58	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-9	9	14.1	13.8	0.28	17.2	17.0	0.23
Bo Outlaw	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-5	1	16.2	13.6	2.63	19.9	16.6	3.36
Steven Hunter	10	8	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-1	-7	11.8	14.3	-2.47	14.7	17.3	-2.59
Smush Parker	34	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	13.7	14.2	-0.47	16.2	17.6	-1.47
Joe Johnson	78	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	14.4	11.7	2.70	17.6	14.4	3.18
Shawn Marion	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	13.5	16.2	-2.72	16.6	19.6	-2.95
Quentin Richardson	80	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	13.8	15.1	-1.25	16.9	18.5	-1.62
Casey Jacobsen	45	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	4	-17	13.5	14.5	-0.96	16.3	17.8	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.28,0.44,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, UTA 66	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.8%
CHI 102, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.7%
MIN 105, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.3%