inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 109 Excitement5.8 [656] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +16.6%
Denver Nuggets 99 Comeback1.8 [985] LVPJameer Nelson (DEN): -13.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.170,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.050.10-0.011067%0.193-0.034100%0.02
Aron Baynes0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.040.013100%0.183-0.059100%0.05
Kawhi Leonard0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.05-0.011361%0.172-0.062100%0.01
Patty Mills0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.003100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.01862%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01460%0.0100.002100%0.01
Jeff Ayres0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Green-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.100.01-0.081225%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02250%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.030.031653%0.011-0.04250%-0.02
Matt Bonner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.02150%-0.021-0.032100%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.010.011237%-0.041-0.03633%-0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.030.021170%0.163-0.07875%-0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02362%0.041-0.002100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00383%0.051-0.0200%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.020.00845%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.03-0.00633%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.06-0.030.061757%0.001-0.031267%-0.03
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01956%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.011144%-0.062-0.03333%-0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.001136%-0.064-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.826.316.431.52.633.5138.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +33.4%
SAS +15.9%
SAS +2.4%
DEN -0.5%
DEN -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game15.814.015.1112.4103.1104.2
season15.414.6106.9103.4
opponent15.314.9106.6101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.216.013.116.915.8
DEN13.314.016.212.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Boris Diaw51510.62-0.120.730.0918-82616.714.81.9215.012.92.13
Manu Ginobili48460.400.100.29-0.0415-52015.416.2-0.7914.513.60.96
Kawhi Leonard62610.320.180.130.1755015.316.8-1.5014.712.91.83
Tony Parker63610.250.25-0.000.2219-817.013.63.3814.413.41.02
Aron Baynes31330.220.28-0.070.0464213.816.8-3.0014.014.0-0.03
Tim Duncan58590.180.32-0.130.21-111-1216.015.50.5513.614.6-1.02
Patty Mills31310.180.32-0.13-0.0582613.417.0-3.5714.513.80.68
Danny Green62610.110.39-0.270.26-515-2016.115.30.8713.714.6-0.91
Cory Joseph25260.090.41-0.33-0.0037-416.915.41.4411.914.8-2.93
Tiago Splitter36340.080.42-0.350.08010-1016.815.21.6214.813.61.15
Matt Bonner13130.070.43-0.370.0419-815.615.8-0.2310.914.5-3.58
JaMychal Green440.000.50-0.500.03-111-1212.016.0-3.984.714.4-9.67
Jeff Ayres100.000.50-0.500.00010-108.015.9-7.900.014.0-14.02

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jusuf Nurkic5250-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-9814.813.01.8016.315.31.00
Arron Afflalo6667-0.08-0.420.33-0.204-141813.714.8-1.1815.616.3-0.65
Jameer Nelson4848-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-6212.915.1-2.1716.515.11.44
Ty Lawson6668-0.24-0.260.01-0.10-5-5014.014.00.0315.616.3-0.71
Darrell Arthur3232-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.09-7-3-414.313.90.4416.215.60.65
Randy Foye2930-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-100-1014.313.90.4115.416.0-0.55
Kenneth Faried7676-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.26-3-7413.715.4-1.7416.015.20.74
JJ Hickson3738-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-122-1414.813.51.2914.616.6-1.94
Wilson Chandler7476-0.530.03-0.55-0.18-122-1414.213.40.7915.815.9-0.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 77, IND 660.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.11,0,0,093.7%
ORL 87, GSW 740.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,093.6%
IND 98, CHI 730.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,093.5%