inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 87 Excitement6.3 [500] MVPTim Hardaway (MIA): +16.4%
Miami Heat 93 Comeback1.0 [1145] LVPDonyell Marshall (GSW): -16.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Caffey0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.011462%0.091-0.024100%0.02
Gerald Madkins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.030.04-0.020.003100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00657%0.0200.002100%0.01
Muggsy Bogues-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.040.01580%0.071-0.0700%0.00
Felton Spencer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00240%-0.0100.0010%-0.01
Duane Ferrell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.01-0.031136%-0.041-0.026100%0.05
Todd Fuller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tony Delk-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01825%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jim Jackson-0.150,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.092339%0.034-0.183100%0.02
Donyell Marshall-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.040.011729%-0.151-0.021100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.110.01877%0.222-0.05650%-0.03
Voshon Lenard0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.090.090.120.010.031172%0.0900.007100%0.02
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.08-0.011439%0.0700.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.000.06-0.01950%0.0700.00475%-0.01
Duane Causwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011853%0.011-0.031164%-0.04
Eric Murdock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Terry Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.011225%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.724.316.326.01.533.5129.5
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +50.7%
GSW -9.6%
GSW -15.9%
MIA +21.0%
MIA +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMIANBAGSWMIANBA
this game18.116.215.6103.6110.7102.5
season15.615.892.9104.7
opponent16.215.099.8102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW17.018.018.818.918.1
MIA14.316.316.318.116.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Delk31320.10-0.600.70-0.107-132016.818.9-2.0614.517.2-2.71
Gerald Madkins3838-0.01-0.490.48-0.3612-183017.718.4-0.7217.315.32.03
Felton Spencer1211-0.08-0.420.350.01-3-3015.518.5-3.0414.216.5-2.30
Duane Ferrell55-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-2-212.618.5-5.8617.016.10.87
Todd Fuller1515-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-5418.118.10.0313.016.9-3.87
Jason Caffey5048-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.22-2-4217.918.4-0.4616.415.80.60
Donyell Marshall4748-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.15-5-1-418.118.2-0.1015.617.0-1.39
Erick Dampier5656-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.25-3-3018.816.62.2018.012.55.46
Clar. Weatherspoon5859-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.34-2-4218.517.31.1616.814.72.13
Muggsy Bogues4646-0.49-0.01-0.480.04-1812-3018.417.70.7215.317.3-2.03
Jim Jackson6262-0.550.04-0.59-0.22-115-1618.915.92.9816.116.4-0.25

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard67671.03-0.531.570.2128-225014.921.3-6.4118.715.63.08
Tim Hardaway70690.75-0.251.010.1421-153615.121.7-6.6418.416.91.51
P.J. Brown70700.72-0.220.940.1021-153615.121.7-6.6418.615.62.96
Alonzo Mourning64640.61-0.110.720.1715-92417.013.63.3218.616.61.98
Dan Majerle61590.57-0.070.640.1614-82215.917.0-1.1919.415.14.25
Duane Causwell1820-0.010.51-0.510.17-612-1817.115.91.1916.318.7-2.31
Brent Barry1212-0.220.72-0.950.22-1521-3621.215.35.8214.318.7-4.40
Terry Mills1010-0.300.80-1.110.11-1420-3417.616.01.6115.918.4-2.51
Eric Murdock1718-0.320.82-1.150.17-1723-4021.015.06.0416.918.4-1.48
Mark Strickland3131-0.330.83-1.160.17-1723-4017.415.51.9715.619.5-3.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.62,0.78,0.86,0.87,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 97, GSW 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.54,0.66,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.67,0.55,0.85,0.91,0.73,192.8%
ORL 124, OKC 1250.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.91,192.7%
DAL 87, CHA 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.93,0.89,0.98,192.3%