inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 97 Excitement8.4 [194] MVPO.J. Mayo (DAL): +17.1%
Golden State Warriors 100 Comeback1.1 [864] LVPBrandan Wright (DAL): -29.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.140.040.011374%0.262-0.09875%-0.07
Rodrigue Beaubois0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.00462%0.0700.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01-0.080.08-0.01933%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Shawn Marion0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.010.05-0.020.021169%0.093-0.08450%-0.02
Bernard James0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.00286%0.062-0.06367%-0.01
Mike James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0-0.010.020.011851%0.073-0.07786%0.02
Dominique Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Elton Brand-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00617%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright-0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.3-0.01-0.290.00850%-0.241-0.06250%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.17-0.010.001867%0.1600.00450%-0.05
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.05-0.01489%0.141-0.021100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.021050%0.0200.004100%0.02
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.011142%0.0200.002100%0.01
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.001100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.02-0.01940%0.011-0.032100%0.06
Jarrett Jack0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09-0.09-0.110.01-0.011342%0.044-0.135100%0.05
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.00542%-0.013-0.082100%0.01
David Lee0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.130.011348%-0.092-0.06560%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.93.331.318.729.72.045.1155.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -13.1%
GSW +24.1%
GSW +19.1%
GSW +8.2%
GSW +11.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALGSWNBADALGSWNBA
this game14.815.515.4102.1105.3104.1
season14.514.6104.3104.6
opponent15.315.6103.7105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.614.416.414.014.8
GSW14.815.016.316.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dominique Jones32-0.04-0.460.410.01-2-1-114.014.9-0.8612.015.6-3.56
Bernard James3535-0.04-0.460.41-0.164-71115.414.50.9514.915.8-0.86
Rodrigue Beaubois3735-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-3315.814.21.6014.416.1-1.76
O.J. Mayo7877-0.14-0.360.21-0.233-6914.615.8-1.2115.913.62.38
Vince Carter5357-0.18-0.320.14-0.428-111913.816.2-2.4416.014.81.20
Brandan Wright4544-0.23-0.270.03-0.447-101714.814.80.0215.915.10.83
Jae Crowder3231-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.23-1-2116.014.31.7113.616.4-2.83
Elton Brand3738-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-1310-2314.814.8-0.0315.215.7-0.46
Darren Collison5860-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.25-30-314.215.8-1.6016.114.41.76
Dahntay Jones2726-0.35-0.15-0.190.03-1310-2316.214.31.9414.815.7-0.88
Shawn Marion7070-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.29-52-714.615.6-0.9915.914.31.63

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarrett Jack83840.65-0.150.800.399-61515.912.73.2214.716.1-1.42
Harrison Barnes78770.64-0.140.770.3410-71715.415.8-0.4114.615.9-1.37
Draymond Green30300.330.170.170.224-1514.515.9-1.4415.814.41.42
Andrew Bogut49520.290.210.070.2612-115.615.40.1414.615.1-0.44
David Lee81830.230.27-0.030.2303-316.211.44.7614.914.40.47
Richard Jefferson25230.210.29-0.080.036-3912.816.4-3.6414.914.80.11
Klay Thompson66680.190.31-0.130.36-69-1516.413.42.9314.815.0-0.18
Carl Landry39360.070.43-0.370.12-25-715.315.6-0.3015.014.70.27
Andris Biedrins12110.000.50-0.500.03-14-514.715.6-0.9414.114.9-0.84
Kent Bazemore66-0.030.53-0.55-0.0303-312.015.7-3.7219.814.55.34
Charles Jenkins65-0.080.58-0.660.10-69-1513.315.6-2.3011.615.0-3.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.54,0.66,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.67,0.55,0.85,0.91,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 87, MIA 930.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.62,0.78,0.86,0.87,192.8%
ORL 124, OKC 1250.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.91,191.9%
DET 98, SAC 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.89,0.92,191.6%