NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	6.6 [519]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (CHA): +13.5%
Charlotte Hornets	97		Comeback	1.0 [1188]		LVP	Salah Mejri (DAL): -12.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Anderson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	7	83%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	15	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Deron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	14	48%	0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	20	42%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Gibson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	15	34%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06
Salah Mejri	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.06	-0.03	7	63%	0.15	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	58%	0.07	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.05
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.06	0.03	19	45%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	43%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	31.4	14.8	26.0	1.8	38.4	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.9%

CHA +10.9%

DAL -11.1%

CHA +19.1%

DAL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	14.8	91.6	103.2	107.7
season	16.2	15.1		104.4	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.7		107.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.6	14.9	17.3	13.8	16.1
CHA	15.7	13.3	12.7	16.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	36	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-12	14	14.8	16.8	-2.01	15.4	13.8	1.67
Devin Harris	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-10	10	15.6	16.2	-0.63	14.4	14.4	0.00
Deron Williams	59	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	16.5	15.3	1.20	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Dwight Powell	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-10	10	16.0	16.1	-0.19	14.7	14.2	0.49
Jonathan Gibson	52	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-5	0	15.8	16.4	-0.58	14.8	13.9	0.91
Salah Mejri	55	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	3	-16	16.6	15.3	1.26	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Wesley Matthews	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	0	-10	16.3	15.1	1.23	14.4	14.3	0.10
Dorian Finney-Smith	49	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	1	-12	16.7	15.4	1.24	13.8	15.1	-1.25
Harrison Barnes	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	15.7	17.6	-1.91	14.2	15.3	-1.14

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	70	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	0	10	14.6	13.8	0.84	16.1	15.9	0.24
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	65	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	2	6	14.3	14.6	-0.30	16.3	15.4	0.91
Roy Hibbert	33	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	2	6	15.3	13.9	1.37	14.8	16.8	-1.94
Frank Kaminsky	42	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	3	4	14.3	14.5	-0.28	18.5	14.3	4.18
Ramon Sessions	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	3	4	14.4	14.4	-0.07	15.4	16.4	-1.04
Kemba Walker	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	7	-4	14.4	14.4	0.07	16.4	15.4	1.04
Marco Belinelli	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	5	0	14.2	14.6	-0.43	15.6	16.4	-0.82
Jeremy Lamb	39	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	9	-8	14.3	14.5	-0.14	14.4	17.3	-2.84
Cody Zeller	61	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	8	-6	13.9	15.3	-1.37	16.8	14.8	1.94
Spencer Hawes	25	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	11	-12	14.8	14.3	0.58	14.8	16.6	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.93,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 83, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.3%
ORL 124, OKC 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.5%
CLE 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.98,1	93.3%