NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	8.6 [141]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +27.8%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.2 [1023]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -14.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.22	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,0.22	-0.06	0.26	-0.01	27	46%	0.31	4	-0.09	15	47%	-0.10
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	14	64%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	109%	0.16	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	14	52%	0.02	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Devin Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	8	40%	-0.02	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	11	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.10	0.00	8	83%	0.33	2	-0.05	13	77%	-0.05
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.15	-0.01	9	62%	0.29	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,0.2	0.20	-0.14	0.32	-0.01	12	47%	0.41	8	-0.21	8	87%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	62%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	19	56%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	23%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.8	33.7	16.8	25.7	3.0	43.1	155.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.2%

UTA +37.6%

CLE -6.8%

CLE -2.8%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	13.7	15.4	101.0	103.0	105.7
season	16.4	15.5		104.0	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	11.7	15.3	18.3	15.9	15.1
UTA	12.7	14.1	13.0	15.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	74	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-4	6	14.4	16.9	-2.48	13.9	13.0	0.91
Dwayne Jones	19	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	3	-8	14.3	15.3	-1.02	12.4	14.0	-1.64
Daniel Gibson	73	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-6	10	15.8	13.2	2.56	13.6	14.0	-0.39
LeBron James	85	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-6	10	14.7	17.1	-2.33	14.2	11.2	3.00
Drew Gooden	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	0	-2	15.3	14.3	0.96	14.4	11.0	3.43
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-3	4	15.4	14.6	0.75	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Devin Brown	57	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	4	-10	15.1	15.1	-0.09	13.0	14.6	-1.66
Damon Jones	48	47	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.46	-8	6	-14	15.3	14.9	0.47	13.4	14.0	-0.62

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	83	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-2	6	13.6	14.4	-0.77	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Deron Williams	92	93	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-3	8	13.7	14.1	-0.45	15.5	10.0	5.47
Ronnie Brewer	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	4	-6	14.2	12.0	2.16	15.2	14.7	0.52
Matt Harpring	28	27	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-6	14	13.0	14.0	-0.94	16.3	14.7	1.60
Andrei Kirilenko	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.43	-5	7	-12	13.5	14.0	-0.54	15.6	14.4	1.19
Paul Millsap	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.40	-6	8	-14	15.0	12.2	2.84	15.2	15.0	0.20
Mehmet Okur	63	63	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-4	10	12.8	15.3	-2.56	15.3	14.7	0.61
Gordan Giricek	26	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.03	3	-1	4	13.3	13.9	-0.54	12.6	15.9	-3.32
Morris Almond	6	6	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	-1	4	10.5	13.9	-3.41	16.5	15.0	1.50
Jarron Collins	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	2	-2	24.0	13.6	10.39	5.0	15.2	-10.19
Jason Hart	8	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	5	-8	14.1	13.7	0.45	10.0	15.5	-5.47
Ronnie Price	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	5	-8	17.0	13.6	3.43	13.7	15.1	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, CHA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	93.3%
PHI 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	93.1%
NYK 93, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.92,1	92.9%