NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	7.8 [274]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (NYK): +11.6%
Charlotte Hornets	97		Comeback	1.1 [939]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -21.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	9	60%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	58%	0.04	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.06
Mark Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	40%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.05
Latrell Sprewell	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.08	0.02	16	53%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Othella Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	7	53%	0.01	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	8	33%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Allan Houston	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.02	20	36%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.01	15	55%	0.17	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Matt Bullard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	16	42%	-0.04	5	-0.14	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.7	30.5	16.3	27.4	1.8	35.2	137.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +32.1%

CHH +23.5%

CHH +2.4%

NYK -8.9%

CHH +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.6	100.0	105.4	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		99.6	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.1	16.8	16.8	15.3	16.0
CHH	16.2	13.8	15.9	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	44	45	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-10	16	15.2	16.7	-1.45	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Charlie Ward	31	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-8	12	15.0	16.5	-1.53	13.9	15.8	-1.94
Felton Spencer	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	19.6	15.2	4.48	16.9	14.7	2.24
Othella Harrington	52	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	15.3	16.9	-1.59	15.2	15.0	0.23
Clar. Weatherspoon	51	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-4	4	15.1	17.1	-2.02	14.4	16.1	-1.73
Kurt Thomas	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-2	0	16.3	15.2	1.08	15.2	15.1	0.08
Latrell Sprewell	78	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.9	16.5	-0.65	15.3	14.1	1.20
Mark Jackson	62	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	4	-12	16.5	15.0	1.53	15.8	13.9	1.94
Allan Houston	64	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.33	-10	6	-16	16.6	14.6	2.09	15.5	14.4	1.15

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	77	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-9	22	15.1	15.1	0.01	16.1	15.3	0.86
P.J. Brown	65	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-2	8	15.4	14.4	1.04	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Elden Campbell	34	36	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-9	22	15.2	15.1	0.10	17.3	15.2	2.10
Jamal Mashburn	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-2	8	15.3	14.4	0.92	16.3	14.5	1.74
Baron Davis	82	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	0	4	15.3	14.1	1.17	16.0	16.1	-0.12
Lee Nailon	26	24	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	5	-6	14.0	15.6	-1.54	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Jamaal Magloire	28	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	6	-8	16.5	14.5	1.95	14.9	16.5	-1.54
Eldridge Recasner	3	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	6	-8	16.3	15.1	1.23	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Robert Traylor	42	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	13.7	16.3	-2.63	16.2	15.8	0.41
Matt Bullard	10	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	10	-16	15.5	15.1	0.40	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Stacey Augmon	15	15	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	13	-22	15.1	15.1	-0.01	15.3	16.1	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, OKC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	93.2%
CLE 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.98,1	92.9%
MIN 75, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.99,1,1	92.6%