NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	83		Excitement	6.0 [479]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): +13.2%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	1.2 [801]		LVP	Ian Mahinmi (DAL): -13.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	15	53%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.08	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	49%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Delonte West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	48%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.01	16	59%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.07	0.04	15	69%	0.20	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.00	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	31.2	19.6	29.0	2.8	29.3	139.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.4%

DAL -14.0%

CHI +16.4%

CHI +7.6%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.6	93.3	103.3	102.8
season	15.5	16.0		101.6	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.5		97.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.8	14.0	17.1	16.8	16.4
CHI	13.0	16.0	14.9	20.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	61	63	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.11	10	-20	30	16.3	16.5	-0.24	16.2	15.0	1.21
Brian Cardinal	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	10.3	16.6	-6.25	15.7	15.8	-0.06
Brendan Haywood	28	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-8	6	18.6	15.4	3.21	13.2	16.9	-3.70
Rodrigue Beaubois	70	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-14	18	16.4	16.4	-0.06	16.1	14.6	1.50
Kelenna Azubuike	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-5	0	17.0	16.3	0.68	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Brandan Wright	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-8	6	17.0	16.1	0.92	17.9	14.8	3.13
Dominique Jones	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-9	8	14.7	18.1	-3.42	17.2	14.3	2.84
Ian Mahinmi	33	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	14.0	17.8	-3.82	16.1	15.7	0.40
Vince Carter	53	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	15.6	17.5	-1.90	16.6	14.7	1.93
Delonte West	58	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	7	-24	17.3	14.6	2.70	14.4	18.4	-4.03
Shawn Marion	58	56	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.03	-26	16	-42	17.8	13.7	4.03	14.7	17.7	-3.05

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.08	19	-9	28	15.7	16.1	-0.37	17.2	12.9	4.24
Luol Deng	82	81	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-3	16	15.5	18.9	-3.36	16.1	19.2	-3.16
Richard Hamilton	55	53	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-5	20	14.1	18.5	-4.42	17.1	15.3	1.84
Taj Gibson	44	42	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	8	-6	17.5	14.2	3.22	15.0	17.6	-2.51
Derrick Rose	60	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	3	4	15.1	17.2	-2.13	17.2	14.9	2.30
CJ Watson	35	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	6	-2	17.4	14.8	2.55	15.4	17.0	-1.61
Kyle Korver	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	12	-14	19.2	14.2	4.96	16.6	16.3	0.32
Carlos Boozer	54	53	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	4	2	14.6	17.7	-3.09	17.7	14.4	3.37
Omer Asik	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	13	-16	14.0	16.0	-1.99	9.7	17.0	-7.27
Ronnie Brewer	12	12	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.13	-11	21	-32	17.8	15.5	2.33	11.7	17.1	-5.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, CHA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	94.3%
PHX 129, MIA 135	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,1	93.0%
WAS 109, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.0%