NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	6.2 [549]		MVP	Bryant Stith (BOS): +17.2%
Boston Celtics	116		Comeback	1.0 [975]		LVP	Jahidi White (WAS): -16.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	16	68%	0.15	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	14	67%	0.19	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.05
Cherokee Parks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	17	68%	0.07	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.05
Richard Hamilton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	53%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Gerard King	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Chris Whitney	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jahidi White	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	5	17%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	12	81%	0.22	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.01
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	7	81%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	10	76%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	22	54%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.16	0.01	-0.08	19	44%	0.05	6	-0.13	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.7	29.2	14.8	29.1	2.8	37.0	142.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.4%

WAS -2.0%

BOS +17.6%

WAS -3.6%

BOS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	15.5	110.1	118.4	100.9
season	15.2	15.1		98.6	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.2		101.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	15.9	14.5	12.7	14.1
BOS	13.1	14.7	16.2	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	76	76	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-13	19	13.7	15.4	-1.68	15.4	14.1	1.30
Gerard King	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	13.8	14.2	-0.43	13.7	15.3	-1.63
Jahidi White	76	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-9	11	14.1	14.3	-0.27	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Juwan Howard	85	85	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-12	17	14.5	12.0	2.49	15.5	12.3	3.22
Mitch Richmond	82	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-14	21	14.1	14.2	-0.04	15.3	14.1	1.24
Richard Hamilton	76	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-8	9	14.0	14.6	-0.55	15.4	14.2	1.21
Michael Smith	11	11	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	6	-19	12.2	14.4	-2.20	11.1	15.6	-4.52
Cherokee Parks	23	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	2	-11	14.3	14.1	0.27	15.6	14.9	0.69
Felipe Lopez	30	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.07	-17	10	-27	14.4	14.0	0.32	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Chris Whitney	23	22	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	6	-19	15.4	13.7	1.68	14.1	15.4	-1.30

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	59	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-7	21	15.3	14.8	0.55	14.3	13.9	0.41
Eric Williams	39	41	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-7	21	13.9	15.9	-2.04	14.4	14.0	0.38
Bryant Stith	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	-2	11	15.0	15.4	-0.34	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Chris Herren	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	2	3	15.3	14.7	0.59	14.6	13.1	1.47
Antoine Walker	89	88	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	6	-5	15.2	14.3	0.85	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Walter McCarty	9	11	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	1	5	14.3	15.2	-0.85	14.7	14.1	0.66
Rick Brunson	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	14.7	15.3	-0.59	13.1	14.6	-1.47
Paul Pierce	71	70	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	11	-15	15.7	13.6	2.03	13.7	15.1	-1.41
Chris Carr	10	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	9	-11	16.5	14.9	1.56	15.1	14.0	1.07
Vitaly Potapenko	39	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.13	-10	17	-27	14.8	15.3	-0.55	14.2	14.1	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 87, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
SEA 86, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.7%
SAC 101, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%