NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	87		Excitement	5.2 [468]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +11.9%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	1.0 [715]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -17.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	60%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Dale Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	14	43%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	43%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
John Crotty	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	13	44%	-0.08	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.07

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	9	70%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.05	19	58%	0.13	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	12	67%	-0.03
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	5	33%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	27.7	15.8	24.4	1.7	34.3	130.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.4%

SAS +8.6%

SEA -17.7%

SAS +22.6%

SAS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.8	88.8	99.0	99.6
season	15.4	15.9		102.4	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		92.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.6	14.8	12.9	13.2	13.9
SAS	15.4	15.8	16.6	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	42	41	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.23	11	-19	30	15.3	12.8	2.44	17.4	14.7	2.70
Olden Polynice	45	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-9	10	15.0	12.9	2.09	16.3	15.5	0.75
Rashard Lewis	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	9.0	14.0	-5.02	10.7	16.1	-5.32
Drew Barry	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	9.0	14.0	-5.02	10.7	16.1	-5.32
Aaron Williams	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-7	6	13.1	14.3	-1.15	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Billy Owens	12	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	3	-14	17.1	13.4	3.66	14.8	16.0	-1.24
John Crotty	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-5	2	13.3	14.1	-0.84	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Hersey Hawkins	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-1	-6	13.7	14.1	-0.38	16.2	15.2	0.97
Gary Payton	87	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	14.1	12.2	1.90	16.3	12.5	3.73
Detlef Schrempf	84	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	5	-18	13.6	15.6	-2.07	15.8	15.9	-0.03
Jelani McCoy	33	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	0	-8	13.0	14.3	-1.35	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Dale Ellis	57	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	2	-12	13.3	14.7	-1.36	15.5	16.3	-0.79

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	82	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-1	10	16.4	12.6	3.83	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Jerome Kersey	31	34	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	15.3	16.1	-0.77	13.6	14.0	-0.38
Avery Johnson	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-2	12	15.7	16.1	-0.37	14.6	12.4	2.17
David Robinson	56	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-2	12	15.7	16.0	-0.27	15.9	11.1	4.81
Malik Rose	31	31	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	6	-4	14.5	16.5	-2.01	12.8	14.4	-1.60
Steve Kerr	23	23	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	6	-4	15.3	16.0	-0.71	12.7	14.2	-1.53
Mario Elie	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	-1	10	15.8	15.9	-0.05	15.3	12.8	2.52
Antonio Daniels	28	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	10	-12	16.1	15.7	0.37	12.4	14.6	-2.17
Sean Elliott	61	60	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	6	-4	16.4	14.8	1.64	14.3	13.2	1.16
Jaren Jackson	34	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	14	-20	15.6	16.0	-0.30	12.4	14.7	-2.29
Will Perdue	23	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	13	-18	16.0	15.8	0.15	11.0	14.9	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 80, DAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 95, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIL 95, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%