NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	8.3 [229]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): +43.3%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.3 [624]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.43	0.09	0.32	-0.02	18	58%	0.46	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Cam Reddish	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.3,0.3	-0.01	0.30	-0.01	19	45%	0.34	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.01	9	65%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Onyeka Okongwu	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.13,0.13	-0.03	0.15	-0.00	6	50%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	9	64%	0.15	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Clint Capela	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.07
Lou Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.15	0.27	-0.00	16	69%	0.45	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.22	0.01	23	57%	0.33	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.05
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	27%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	11	18%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	10	40%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.5	25.2	14.8	26.3	2.5	39.6	136.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +60.1%

SAC -9.2%

ATL +2.2%

SAC -1.6%

SAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	13.7	14.5	108.0	103.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.0		114.3	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		114.4	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	16.8	16.6	14.9	15.2
SAC	13.2	13.9	13.4	14.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	70	67	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-8	22	14.6	16.8	-2.21	14.1	13.0	1.06
Delon Wright	83	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-3	12	15.0	16.5	-1.58	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Cam Reddish	77	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	7	-8	15.7	13.7	1.98	13.8	13.6	0.21
Clint Capela	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	1	4	15.5	14.9	0.60	13.5	14.0	-0.43
Danilo Gallinari	55	58	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-2	10	15.3	15.1	0.28	13.6	14.0	-0.40
Onyeka Okongwu	45	44	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	6	-6	14.9	15.5	-0.60	14.0	13.5	0.43
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	75	77	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	8	-10	15.5	14.5	0.99	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Lou Williams	40	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	9	-12	15.4	15.1	0.34	14.2	13.5	0.71

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	12	13	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-11	16	13.2	13.8	-0.53	17.7	14.9	2.84
Tyrese Haliburton	77	77	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-12	18	13.9	12.9	1.04	16.0	12.6	3.45
Marvin Bagley III	47	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-4	2	13.1	14.2	-1.08	15.6	14.9	0.72
Buddy Hield	57	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-4	2	14.0	13.3	0.67	15.2	15.2	0.04
Damian Jones	48	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-4	2	14.2	13.3	0.91	15.4	15.0	0.43
Harrison Barnes	62	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-6	6	13.5	14.2	-0.71	15.6	14.7	0.95
Alex Len	31	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-4	2	13.9	13.6	0.22	14.2	15.7	-1.46
De'Aaron Fox	80	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	3	-12	13.5	14.6	-1.07	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Maurice Harkless	37	40	-0.68	0.17	-0.85	-0.35	-11	5	-16	13.7	13.7	-0.02	14.2	15.9	-1.62
Davion Mitchell	44	47	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.38	-13	7	-20	13.8	13.6	0.18	14.3	16.0	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.08,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.31,0.08,0	92.8%
TOR 98, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.15,0	92.4%
SEA 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.23,0,0	92.3%