NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	109		Excitement	7.3 [356]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +27.3%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	1.6 [421]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -18.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.10	0.01	13	83%	0.27	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Sam Perkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	12	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.04	0.00	28	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Hersey Hawkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	22	49%	-0.07	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	16	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	15	55%	0.08	3	-0.12	12	100%	0.12
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	13	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	14	47%	-0.00	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Elmer Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	24.0	16.4	25.0	1.7	30.2	125.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.4%

DEN -18.2%

SEA +16.6%

SEA +16.5%

SEA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DEN	NBA	SEA	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	15.6	117.2	104.2	104.4
season	14.9	15.2		108.9	102.3
opponent	15.3	16.2		108.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.0	14.0	14.8	17.3	14.8
DEN	16.9	16.0	14.6	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	77	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-4	18	14.1	17.7	-3.62	15.4	17.8	-2.37
Detlef Schrempf	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-4	18	15.0	14.1	0.87	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Sam Perkins	61	60	0.37	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	5	0	14.7	14.9	-0.19	15.6	16.3	-0.61
Hersey Hawkins	53	55	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.11	8	2	6	15.0	14.5	0.49	15.0	17.1	-2.07
Eric Snow	44	43	0.32	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	2	6	14.3	15.1	-0.82	16.9	15.0	1.93
Gary Payton	78	81	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.25	1	9	-8	14.9	14.1	0.82	15.6	17.6	-1.99
Jim McIlvaine	25	28	0.18	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	3	4	15.6	14.5	1.10	17.5	15.2	2.26
David Wingate	35	35	0.07	0.44	-0.37	0.07	0	10	-10	15.4	14.4	0.99	16.6	15.5	1.10
Larry Stewart	21	22	-0.17	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	17	-24	14.4	14.8	-0.42	16.3	15.7	0.58

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	7	6	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.05	3	-13	16	18.3	15.7	2.60	14.3	14.8	-0.45
Elmer Bennett	34	33	-0.03	-0.48	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	16.2	15.7	0.47	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Brooks Thompson	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-8	6	21.3	15.4	5.84	12.2	14.9	-2.76
Tom Hammonds	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-8	6	15.7	16.0	-0.23	14.0	15.3	-1.32
Ervin Johnson	86	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-11	12	15.7	17.1	-1.37	15.1	12.2	2.86
Mark Jackson	87	85	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	15.9	15.1	0.82	14.8	14.1	0.69
Ricky Pierce	62	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	1	-12	15.0	17.5	-2.52	15.1	14.0	1.18
LaPhonso Ellis	72	71	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.08	-16	6	-22	16.1	15.0	1.10	15.1	13.7	1.40
Dale Ellis	82	81	-0.60	0.09	-0.69	-0.13	-16	6	-22	15.6	17.4	-1.75	14.5	16.2	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.23,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.15,0	94.0%
SEA 120, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.05,0	93.3%
POR 105, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.03,0,0	92.9%