NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	120		Excitement	7.2 [402]		MVP	Luke Walton (LAL): +23.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	1.6 [395]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -25.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	12	72%	0.20	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	17	62%	0.21	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Johan Petro	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	8	76%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	17	54%	0.17	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	74%	0.16	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Robert Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	0.00	7	121%	0.31	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	9	78%	0.20	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	13	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25	-0.25	-0.21	-0.08	-0.04	29	35%	-0.14	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.0	32.5	16.7	27.5	2.8	41.4	149.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +49.7%

SEA +12.8%

LAL -7.2%

LAL -3.3%

LAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	13.0	15.6	15.6	120.0	111.9	104.4
season	15.0	15.6		108.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.3	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.6	12.7	13.2	12.6	13.0
LAL	15.7	16.6	15.1	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	0	7	13.0	13.2	-0.25	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Ray Allen	83	85	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	13.5	10.8	2.65	15.7	15.2	0.44
Earl Watson	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	4	-1	12.1	14.0	-1.90	15.4	15.9	-0.43
Robert Swift	32	33	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-1	9	13.3	12.9	0.48	16.8	15.0	1.77
Chris Wilcox	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	1	5	13.2	12.7	0.52	16.2	14.8	1.37
Mikki Moore	43	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.16	1	6	-5	12.7	13.2	-0.52	14.8	16.2	-1.37
Luke Ridnour	63	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	3	1	13.2	12.8	0.42	15.7	15.5	0.20
Damien Wilkins	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	5	-3	12.5	13.2	-0.63	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Johan Petro	65	66	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	10	-13	13.1	12.9	0.16	15.2	16.4	-1.14

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	37	36	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-11	15	15.2	15.9	-0.73	14.4	12.3	2.10
Ronny Turiaf	12	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	16.4	15.5	0.90	13.1	13.0	0.08
Chris Mihm	67	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-8	9	15.6	15.6	0.01	13.5	12.1	1.37
Andrew Bynum	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-5	3	17.1	15.4	1.65	12.8	13.0	-0.23
Kobe Bryant	91	92	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-7	7	15.4	17.5	-2.08	13.0	13.0	0.02
Smush Parker	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.5	15.9	-0.38	13.2	12.5	0.68
Luke Walton	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	15.2	16.0	-0.76	11.9	13.9	-2.06
Kwame Brown	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	5	-17	16.0	15.3	0.70	12.1	13.7	-1.59
Sasha Vujacic	40	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	3	-13	16.0	15.4	0.62	12.7	13.2	-0.50
Lamar Odom	91	90	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.25	-13	6	-19	15.7	15.1	0.58	13.1	12.1	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, GSW 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.5%
SEA 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.23,0,0	93.3%
POR 105, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.03,0,0	93.2%