NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	6.9 [444]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): +11.4%
Golden State Warriors	83		Comeback	1.3 [1144]		LVP	Vonteego Cummings (GSW): -27.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	5	64%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	17	50%	0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	16	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	13	48%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	13	42%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	21%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	16	26%	-0.18	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	14	64%	0.11	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	11	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.03	7	45%	-0.06	6	-0.14	8	50%	-0.06
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.08	-0.01	16	38%	-0.03	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.06	-0.02	10	21%	-0.14	5	-0.13	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.5	0.1	18.5	15.4	27.6	3.4	25.6	126.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +2.7%

POR +10.1%

POR +22.9%

POR +14.2%

POR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	13.6	15.2	94.8	84.7	101.7
season	15.9	14.7		105.9	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.7		105.8	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	17.0	13.7	16.9	15.9
GSW	12.4	13.7	13.5	15.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	67	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-5	19	15.9	16.1	-0.28	13.8	13.2	0.56
Detlef Schrempf	38	37	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-2	13	16.6	15.5	1.01	15.2	12.6	2.62
Greg Anthony	33	33	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	0	9	16.5	15.6	0.87	15.0	12.9	2.09
Brian Grant	44	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	1	7	15.6	16.2	-0.64	14.2	13.1	1.14
Bonzi Wells	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	8	-7	16.6	15.2	1.40	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Steven Smith	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	1	7	15.2	16.6	-1.40	13.6	13.6	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	70	72	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	7	-5	16.1	15.5	0.63	12.9	15.5	-2.52
Damon Stoudamire	66	66	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	11	-13	15.5	16.8	-1.23	12.8	15.4	-2.62
Scottie Pippen	59	61	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	11	-13	15.5	16.6	-1.01	12.6	15.2	-2.62
Jermaine O'Neal	11	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	13	-17	17.4	15.8	1.61	15.2	13.4	1.77

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Farmer	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-12	15	13.1	13.8	-0.64	16.0	15.9	0.09
Sam Jacobson	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	3.0	13.7	-10.72	12.5	16.0	-3.51
Sam Mack	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	3.0	13.7	-10.72	12.5	16.0	-3.51
Vonteego Cummings	43	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-13	17	13.6	13.6	-0.05	16.3	15.7	0.61
Adonal Foyle	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	13.0	13.9	-0.86	15.2	16.2	-1.07
Donyell Marshall	84	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	13.7	12.9	0.88	15.9	15.9	0.01
John Starks	81	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-5	1	13.6	13.9	-0.33	16.0	15.7	0.32
Erick Dampier	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	13.9	13.0	0.86	16.2	15.2	1.07
Jason Caffey	78	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	7	-23	13.6	13.5	0.08	16.0	15.7	0.24
Mookie Blaylock	77	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.02	-22	13	-35	14.0	12.3	1.69	15.8	16.5	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.41,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.0%
SAS 91, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.8%
UTA 114, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.8%