NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	7.5 [290]		MVP	Mark Davis (PHI): +7.6%
Golden State Warriors	78		Comeback	1.2 [696]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -29.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.03	0.02	18	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	12	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Theo Ratliff	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	5	46%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.05
Aaron McKie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	10%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Derrick Coleman	-0.29	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	14	48%	-0.11	3	-0.18	18	78%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felton Spencer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	20	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	9	58%	0.09	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.11,0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	16	61%	0.18	6	-0.26	1	0%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	9	54%	-0.04	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	14%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	8	25%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.07	-0.03	12	25%	-0.05	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	26.7	16.3	23.7	2.2	42.6	139.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -20.0%

PHI +17.4%

PHI +11.2%

PHI +40.6%

PHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.6	91.4	84.8	102.5
season	15.4	15.6		99.7	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.5		102.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	15.8	15.1	14.7	15.1
GSW	14.5	16.9	17.5	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	40	43	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-5	17	13.7	16.2	-2.49	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Allen Iverson	82	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	14.8	17.0	-2.16	16.3	14.6	1.68
Derrick Coleman	78	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	15.8	11.3	4.57	15.1	19.9	-4.85
Theo Ratliff	54	50	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	2	3	15.6	14.4	1.23	15.5	16.7	-1.15
Jim Jackson	78	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	5	-3	15.1	15.1	0.04	15.7	17.9	-2.18
Mark Davis	14	15	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	2	3	11.0	15.8	-4.82	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Terry Cummings	31	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	15.4	15.0	0.44	19.1	14.3	4.75
Clar. Weatherspoon	25	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	9	-11	12.4	16.1	-3.69	16.6	15.8	0.74
Tim Thomas	63	59	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	7	-7	16.8	11.5	5.31	16.3	15.6	0.73

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	23.6	15.4	8.15	10.8	15.4	-4.56
Dickey Simpkins	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-6	5	19.7	15.5	4.18	18.2	14.7	3.50
Felton Spencer	27	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	16.2	16.0	0.25	13.1	15.8	-2.71
Adonal Foyle	25	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-2	-3	18.1	15.3	2.80	11.5	16.1	-4.52
Bimbo Coles	68	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-8	9	15.3	18.1	-2.82	16.2	11.0	5.22
Donyell Marshall	78	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-5	3	15.2	20.9	-5.68	14.8	16.6	-1.82
Brian Shaw	66	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-1	-5	15.7	17.0	-1.28	15.5	14.1	1.34
Erick Dampier	65	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	16.0	16.2	-0.25	15.8	13.1	2.71
Tony Delk	43	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	0	-7	16.5	15.6	0.92	13.0	16.6	-3.57
Joe Smith	70	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	15.7	17.1	-1.44	15.9	11.6	4.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.08,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.31,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%
MIL 101, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.32,0.05,0	92.6%
CLE 96, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	92.3%